Istanbulspor x Hatayspor Betting tips for November 25 in Turkey Super Lig

Our betting tip for Istanbulspor x Hatayspor, Saturday, 25/11/2023

📅 25/11/2023 10:30

Istanbulspor 2.87

X 3.35

Hatayspor 2.24

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Istanbulspor x Hatayspor:

🔮 Hatayspor wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Hatayspor, you can win up to $1120.00!

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The main points for the tip for Istanbulspor x Hatayspor: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Istanbulspor in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-175.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Hatayspor in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Istanbulspor scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Istanbulspor matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Istanbulspor conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Playing as the home team, Istanbulspor conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Hatayspor.

📊 Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Istanbulspor x Hatayspor

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Analysis from Istanbulspor x Hatayspor for the Turkey Super Lig – 25 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Istanbulspor x Hatayspor right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1024927 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Istanbulspor x Hatayspor

Should you bet on Istanbulspor?

🔵 Istanbulspor: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.68%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.87. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 160 times – profiting $299.20;
• And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$540.80.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.8% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.35. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $493.50
• And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$296.50.

Should you bet on Hatayspor?

🔴 Hatayspor: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 63.52% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.24. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 640 times – profiting $793.60;
• And would lose other 360 times – having a loss of -$360.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$433.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match Istanbulspor x Hatayspor

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Istanbulspor
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Istanbulspor x Hatayspor

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Istanbulspor, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Istanbulspor.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Hatayspor.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Istanbulspor x Hatayspor

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.