Istra 1961 x HNK Rijeka Betting tips for December 14 in Croatia HNL
| 📅 14/12/2025 16:45 |
 Istra 19613.80 |
X 3.25 |
HNK Rijeka  1.88 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Istra 1961 x HNK Rijeka:
🔮 HNK Rijeka wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on HNK Rijeka, you can win up to $940.00!
Some important points for the tip for Istra 1961 x HNK Rijeka:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Istra 1961 in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $265.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on HNK Rijeka in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-367.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Istra 1961 scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Istra 1961 x HNK Rijeka, with Istra 1961 as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Istra 1961 conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, HNK Rijeka conceded at least 1 goal(s).
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Analysis from Istra 1961 x HNK Rijeka for the Croatia HNL – 14 of December
🏟️ Istra 1961 X HNK Rijeka – Croatia HNL
📅 14 of December, 2025 – 16:45
🔵 Istra 1961 – Winning probability: 17.12% | Fair line: 5.84
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.71% | Fair line: 3.89
🔴 HNK Rijeka – Winning probability: 57.17% | Fair line: 1.75
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Istra 1961
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Istra 1961 x HNK Rijeka right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1452657 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Istra 1961 x HNK Rijeka
Is it a good idea to bet on Istra 1961?
🔵 Istra 1961: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.12%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $476.00
- And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$354.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.71% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $585.00;
- And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$155.00.
Is it worth betting on HNK Rijeka?
🔴 HNK Rijeka: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 57.17% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.88. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 570 times – this would give you a profit of $501.60
- And would lose other 430 times – losing -$430.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$71.60.
Handicaps analysis for the match Istra 1961 x HNK Rijeka
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Istra 1961
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Istra 1961 x HNK Rijeka
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 Istra 1961 and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.5 Istra 1961.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 HNK Rijeka.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Istra 1961 x HNK Rijeka
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
