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Home » Predictions » Others » Ituano x Amazonas FC Betting tips for November 23 in Brazil Serie B
Saturday, 23 November 2024, 00h30 Brazil Serie B
Ituano Ituano
PREDICTION Ituano wins Probability 55% 1 X 2
Amazonas FC Amazonas FC
ODD: @2.25 Don't miss this prediction!

Ituano x Amazonas FC Betting tips for November 23 in Brazil Serie B

Our betting tip for Ituano x Amazonas FC, Saturday, 23/11/2024
📅 23/11/2024
00:30
Ituano Ituano
2.25
X
3.20
Amazonas FC Amazonas FC
3.02

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Ituano x Amazonas FC:

🔮 Ituano wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Ituano, you can win up to $1125.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Ituano x Amazonas FC:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Ituano in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-275.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Amazonas FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 Amazonas FC did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 3 Amazonas FC matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Ituano conceded at least 2 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Ituano as home team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last home matches.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Ituano x Amazonas FC?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Ituano x Amazonas FC:

Analysis from Ituano x Amazonas FC for the Brazil Serie B – 23 of November

🏟️ Ituano X Amazonas FC – Brazil Serie B
📅 23 of November, 2024 – 00:30
🔵 Ituano – Winning probability: 55.56% | Fair line: 1.8
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.51% | Fair line: 4.25
🔴 Amazonas FC – Winning probability: 20.93% | Fair line: 4.78
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Ituano
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Ituano and Amazonas FC.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1225887 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Ituano x Amazonas FC

Is it worth betting on Ituano?

🔵 Ituano: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 55.56% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 560 times – having a profit of $700.00;
  • And would lose other 440 times – losing -$440.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$260.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.51% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – profiting $528.00;
  • And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$232.00.

Should you bet on Amazonas FC?

🔴 Amazonas FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.93%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.02. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – this would give you a profit of $424.20
  • And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$365.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Ituano x Amazonas FC

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Ituano
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Ituano x Amazonas FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Ituano and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Ituano.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Ituano x Amazonas FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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