Izarra x UD Barbastro Betting tips for December 15 in Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2

Our betting tip for Izarra x UD Barbastro, Sunday, 15/12/2024

📅 15/12/2024 15:00

Izarra 2.06

X 3.00

UD Barbastro 3.34

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Izarra x UD Barbastro:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Izarra x UD Barbastro

Important information for your tip for Izarra x UD Barbastro: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Izarra in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on UD Barbastro in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-225.0. 👉 In the last 6 Izarra matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Izarra conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, UD Barbastro conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 It is not a good time for UD Barbastro as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Izarra x UD Barbastro?

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Analysis from Izarra x UD Barbastro for the Spain Segunda Division RFEF Group 2 – 15 of December

When the best bet on Izarra x UD Barbastro is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1236762 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Izarra x UD Barbastro

Should you bet on Izarra?

🔵 Izarra: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 41.71% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.06. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 420 times – having a profit of $445.20;
• And would lose other 580 times – losing -$580.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$134.80.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 34.45% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 340 times – having a profit of $680.00;
• And would have lost other 660 times – with a loss of -$660.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$20.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it worth betting on UD Barbastro?

🔴 UD Barbastro: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.84% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.34. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $561.60
• And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$198.40.

Handicaps analysis for the match Izarra x UD Barbastro

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Izarra
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Izarra x UD Barbastro

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Izarra, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Izarra.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Izarra x UD Barbastro

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.