Izarra x UDC Txantrea Betting tips for December 20 in Spain Tercera Group 15
| 📅 20/12/2025 18:00 |
 Izarra1.64 |
X 3.75 |
UDC Txantrea  4.40 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Izarra x UDC Txantrea:
🔮 Izarra wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Izarra, you can win up to $820.00!
Some important points for the tip for Izarra x UDC Txantrea:
👉 If you had bet $100 on UDC Txantrea in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-40.0.
👉 Izarra did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Izarra scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 UDC Txantrea matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, UDC Txantrea conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Izarra is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Izarra x UDC Txantrea?
If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:
Analysis from Izarra x UDC Txantrea for the Spain Tercera Group 15 – 20 of December
🏟️ Izarra X UDC Txantrea – Spain Tercera Group 15
📅 20 of December, 2025 – 18:00
🔵 Izarra – Winning probability: 67.31% | Fair line: 1.49
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.55% | Fair line: 4.87
🔴 UDC Txantrea – Winning probability: 12.14% | Fair line: 8.24
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Izarra
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Izarra x UDC Txantrea right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1455033 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Izarra x UDC Txantrea
Is it a good idea to bet on Izarra?
🔵 Izarra: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 67.31% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.64. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 670 times – this would give you a profit of $428.80
- And would have lost other 330 times – with a loss of -$330.00 because of them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$98.80.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.55% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $577.50;
- And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$212.50.
Is betting on UDC Txantrea worth it?
🔴 UDC Txantrea: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.14% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 120 times – this would give you a profit of $408.00
- And would lose other 880 times – having a loss of -$880.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$472.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Izarra x UDC Txantrea
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Izarra
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Izarra x UDC Txantrea
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Izarra and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Izarra.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 UDC Txantrea.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Izarra x UDC Txantrea
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.
