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Home » Predictions » Others » Jableh x Al-Shorta Damascus Betting tips for November 29 in Syria Division 1
Friday, 29 November 2024, 11h00 Syria Division 1
Jableh Jableh
PREDICTION Jableh wins Probability 49% 1 X 2
Al-Shorta Damascus Al-Shorta Damascus
ODD: @2.22 Don't miss this prediction!

Jableh x Al-Shorta Damascus Betting tips for November 29 in Syria Division 1

Our betting tip for Jableh x Al-Shorta Damascus, Friday, 29/11/2024
📅 29/11/2024
11:00
Jableh Jableh
2.22
X
3.00
Al-Shorta Damascus Al-Shorta Damascus
3.00

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Jableh x Al-Shorta Damascus:

🔮 Jableh wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Jableh, you can win up to $1110.00!

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Important information for your tip for Jableh x Al-Shorta Damascus:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Al-Shorta Damascus in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-80.0.
👉 Al-Shorta Damascus did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Al-Shorta Damascus, Jableh scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 Jableh matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 Al-Shorta Damascus matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Jableh x Al-Shorta Damascus, with Jableh as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Jableh conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Jableh conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Al-Shorta Damascus.

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Summary

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Analysis from Jableh x Al-Shorta Damascus for the Syria Division 1 – 29 of November

🏟️ Jableh X Al-Shorta Damascus – Syria Division 1
📅 29 of November, 2024 – 11:00
🔵 Jableh – Winning probability: 49.73% | Fair line: 2.01
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.34% | Fair line: 3.66
🔴 Al-Shorta Damascus – Winning probability: 22.93% | Fair line: 4.36
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Jableh
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Jableh x Al-Shorta Damascus right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1229376 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Jableh x Al-Shorta Damascus

Is it worth betting on Jableh?

🔵 Jableh: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 49.73%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.22. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 500 times – this would give you a profit of $610.00
  • And would lose other 500 times – having a loss of -$500.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$110.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.34% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $540.00;
  • And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$190.00.

Is betting on Al-Shorta Damascus worth it?

🔴 Al-Shorta Damascus: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.93% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – profiting $460.00;
  • And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$310.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Jableh x Al-Shorta Damascus

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Jableh
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Jableh x Al-Shorta Damascus

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Jableh and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Jableh.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Jableh x Al-Shorta Damascus

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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