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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Jagiellonia Bialystok x Piast Gliwice Betting tips for November 24 in Poland Ekstraklasa
Friday, 24 November 2023, 00h00 Poland Ekstraklasa
Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok
PREDICTION Jagiellonia Bialystok wins Probability 21% 1 X 2
Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice
ODD: @2.55 Don't miss this prediction!

Jagiellonia Bialystok x Piast Gliwice Betting tips for November 24 in Poland Ekstraklasa

Our betting tip for Jagiellonia Bialystok x Piast Gliwice, Friday, 24/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 24/11/2023
19:30
Jagiellonia Bialystok Jagiellonia Bialystok
2.55
X
3.15
Piast Gliwice Piast Gliwice
2.60

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Jagiellonia Bialystok x Piast Gliwice:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Jagiellonia Bialystok wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Jagiellonia Bialystok, you can win up to $1275.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Jagiellonia Bialystok x Piast Gliwice:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Jagiellonia Bialystok in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $602.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Piast Gliwice in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-327.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Jagiellonia Bialystok did not concede a goal in the last 4 matches as home team.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Jagiellonia Bialystok scored at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, Piast Gliwice scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Jagiellonia Bialystok is good playing home: it has 7 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 road matches, Piast Gliwice has not lost any of them.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Jagiellonia Bialystok x Piast Gliwice

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Jagiellonia Bialystok x Piast Gliwice?

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Analysis from Jagiellonia Bialystok x Piast Gliwice for the Poland Ekstraklasa – 24 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Jagiellonia Bialystok X Piast Gliwice – Poland Ekstraklasa
๐Ÿ“… 24 of November, 2023 – 19:30
๐Ÿ”ต Jagiellonia Bialystok – Winning probability: 59.08% | Fair line: 1.69
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 19.90% | Fair line: 5.02
๐Ÿ”ด Piast Gliwice – Winning probability: 21.01% | Fair line: 4.76
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Jagiellonia Bialystok
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Jagiellonia Bialystok and Piast Gliwice.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1024961 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Jagiellonia Bialystok x Piast Gliwice

Is it worth betting on Jagiellonia Bialystok?

๐Ÿ”ต Jagiellonia Bialystok: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 59.08% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.55. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 590 times – having a profit of $914.50;
  • And would lose other 410 times – losing -$410.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$504.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.9%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.15. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 200 times – having a profit of $430.00;
  • And would have lost other 800 times – with a loss of -$800.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$370.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Piast Gliwice?

๐Ÿ”ด Piast Gliwice: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.01% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – profiting $336.00;
  • And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$454.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Jagiellonia Bialystok x Piast Gliwice

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Jagiellonia Bialystok
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Jagiellonia Bialystok x Piast Gliwice

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Jagiellonia Bialystok and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Jagiellonia Bialystok.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Jagiellonia Bialystok.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Jagiellonia Bialystok x Piast Gliwice

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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