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Home » Predictions » Jahn Regensburg x Rot-Weiss Essen Betting tips for February 10 in Germany 3.Liga
Saturday, 10 February 2024, 13h00 Germany 3.Liga
Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg
PREDICTION No tip
Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen
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Jahn Regensburg x Rot-Weiss Essen Betting tips for February 10 in Germany 3.Liga

Our betting tip for Jahn Regensburg x Rot-Weiss Essen, Saturday, 10/2/2024
📅 10/2/2024
13:00
Jahn Regensburg Jahn Regensburg
1.80
X
3.55
Rot-Weiss Essen Rot-Weiss Essen
3.85

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Jahn Regensburg x Rot-Weiss Essen:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Jahn Regensburg x Rot-Weiss Essen

Important information for your tip for Jahn Regensburg x Rot-Weiss Essen:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Jahn Regensburg in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $56.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Rot-Weiss Essen in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-372.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Jahn Regensburg scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Jahn Regensburg matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Rot-Weiss Essen conceded at least 2 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for Rot-Weiss Essen as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Jahn Regensburg x Rot-Weiss Essen for the Germany 3.Liga – 10 of February

🏟️ Jahn Regensburg X Rot-Weiss Essen – Germany 3.Liga
📅 10 of February, 2024 – 13:00
🔵 Jahn Regensburg – Winning probability: 46.17% | Fair line: 2.17
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.63% | Fair line: 3.37
🔴 Rot-Weiss Essen – Winning probability: 24.19% | Fair line: 4.13
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Jahn Regensburg
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Jahn Regensburg x Rot-Weiss Essen is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1054913 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Jahn Regensburg x Rot-Weiss Essen

Is it a good idea to bet on Jahn Regensburg?

🔵 Jahn Regensburg: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 46.17% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 460 times – having a profit of $368.00;
  • And would lose other 540 times – having a loss of -$540.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$172.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 29.63% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $765.00
  • And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$65.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is betting on Rot-Weiss Essen worth it?

🔴 Rot-Weiss Essen: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.19% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.85. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – profiting $684.00;
  • And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$76.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Jahn Regensburg x Rot-Weiss Essen

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Jahn Regensburg
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Jahn Regensburg x Rot-Weiss Essen

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Jahn Regensburg, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Jahn Regensburg.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Jahn Regensburg x Rot-Weiss Essen

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves