Jaiba Brava x Tepatitlan FC Betting tips for March 30 in Mexico Liga de Expansion

Our betting tip for Jaiba Brava x Tepatitlan FC, Sunday, 30/3/2025

📅 30/3/2025 03:00

Jaiba Brava 2.20

X 3.15

Tepatitlan FC 2.95

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Jaiba Brava x Tepatitlan FC:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Jaiba Brava x Tepatitlan FC

Some important points for the tip for Jaiba Brava x Tepatitlan FC: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Jaiba Brava in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $8.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Tepatitlan FC in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 Jaiba Brava did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Tepatitlan FC conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Jaiba Brava has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Tepatitlan FC playing at home. 👉 It is not a good time for Tepatitlan FC as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Analysis from Jaiba Brava x Tepatitlan FC for the Mexico Liga de Expansion – 30 of March

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Jaiba Brava x Tepatitlan FC right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1291138 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Jaiba Brava x Tepatitlan FC

Is betting on Jaiba Brava worth it?

🔵 Jaiba Brava: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 44.33% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 440 times – this would give you a profit of $528.00
• And would lose other 560 times – having a loss of -$560.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$32.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 30.14%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.15. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 300 times – profiting $645.00;
• And would lose other 700 times – losing -$700.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$55.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Should you bet on Tepatitlan FC?

🔴 Tepatitlan FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 25.52% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.95. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $507.00;
• And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$233.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Jaiba Brava x Tepatitlan FC

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Jaiba Brava
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Jaiba Brava x Tepatitlan FC

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Jaiba Brava and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Jaiba Brava.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Jaiba Brava.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Jaiba Brava x Tepatitlan FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.