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Home » Predictions » Others » Jamaica x USA Betting tips for November 15 in CONCACAF Nations League
Friday, 15 November 2024, 01h00 CONCACAF Nations League
Jamaica Jamaica
PREDICTION USA Wins Probability 57% 1 X 2
USA USA
ODD: @1.95 Don't miss this prediction!

Jamaica x USA Betting tips for November 15 in CONCACAF Nations League

Our betting tip for Jamaica x USA, Friday, 15/11/2024
📅 15/11/2024
01:00
Jamaica Jamaica
3.75
X
3.20
USA USA
1.95

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Jamaica x USA:

🔮 USA wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on USA, you can win up to $975.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Jamaica x USA:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Jamaica in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-127.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on USA in each of its last 3 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-300.
👉 Jamaica did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, USA conceded at least 2 goal(s).
👉 It is not a good time for USA as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on Jamaica x USA?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Jamaica x USA, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Jamaica x USA for the CONCACAF Nations League – 15 of November

🏟️ Jamaica X USA – CONCACAF Nations League
📅 15 of November, 2024 – 01:00
🔵 Jamaica – Winning probability: 17.00% | Fair line: 5.88
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.69% | Fair line: 3.89
🔴 USA – Winning probability: 57.30% | Fair line: 1.75
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Jamaica
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Jamaica x USA right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1221188 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Jamaica x USA

Is it a good idea to bet on Jamaica?

🔵 Jamaica: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.0% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $467.50
  • And would have lost other 830 times – with a loss of -$830.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$362.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.69%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $572.00;
  • And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$168.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on USA?

🔴 USA: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 57.3% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.95. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 570 times – profiting $541.50;
  • And would have lost other 430 times – with a loss of -$430.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$111.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Jamaica x USA

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Jamaica
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Jamaica x USA

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Jamaica, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Jamaica.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 Jamaica.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Jamaica x USA

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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