Joinville x Figueirense Betting tips for January 7 in Brazil Campeonato Catarinense
| 📅 7/1/2026 23:00 |
 Joinville2.68 |
X 3.00 |
Figueirense  2.50 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Joinville x Figueirense:
🔮 Figueirense wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Figueirense, you can win up to $1250.00!
Some important points for the tip for Joinville x Figueirense:
👉 If you had bet $100 on Joinville in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-26.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Figueirense in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-140.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Figueirense scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Figueirense matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Figueirense conceded at least 1 goal(s).
Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Joinville x Figueirense?
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Analysis from Joinville x Figueirense for the Brazil Campeonato Catarinense – 7 of January
🏟️ Joinville X Figueirense – Brazil Campeonato Catarinense
📅 7 of January, 2026 – 23:00
🔵 Joinville – Winning probability: 31.95% | Fair line: 3.13
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 18.60% | Fair line: 5.38
🔴 Figueirense – Winning probability: 49.45% | Fair line: 2.02
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Joinville
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks
Tips for the Match Odds market for Joinville x Figueirense
When the best bet on Joinville x Figueirense is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1460319 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Is it worth betting on Joinville?
🔵 Joinville: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.95%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.68. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 320 times – profiting $537.60;
- And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.
Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$142.40 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.6% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $380.00;
- And would have lost other 810 times – with a loss of -$810.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$430.00.
Should you bet on Figueirense?
🔴 Figueirense: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 49.45% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 490 times – profiting $735.00;
- And would lose other 510 times – having a loss of -$510.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$225.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Joinville x Figueirense
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Joinville
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Joinville x Figueirense
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Joinville, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Joinville.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Figueirense.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Joinville x Figueirense
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
