Joinville x Guarany de Bage Betting tips for April 19 in Brazil Serie D
| 📅 19/4/2025 18:30 |
 Joinville2.40 |
X 2.90 |
Guarany de Bage  2.81 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Joinville x Guarany de Bage:
🔮 Joinville wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Joinville, you can win up to $1200.00!
|
Some important points for the tip for Joinville x Guarany de Bage: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Joinville in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-95.0. |
Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Joinville x Guarany de Bage?
If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2025. You just have to click, deposit and bet:
Analysis from Joinville x Guarany de Bage for the Brazil Serie D – 19 of April
|
🏟️ Joinville X Guarany de Bage – Brazil Serie D |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Joinville and Guarany de Bage.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1304535 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Joinville x Guarany de Bage
Is it worth betting on Joinville?
🔵 Joinville: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 51.96%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 520 times – profiting $728.00;
- And would have lost other 480 times – with a loss of -$480.00 because of them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$248.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 14.01% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 140 times – this would give you a profit of $266.00
- And would lose other 860 times – losing -$860.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$594.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on Guarany de Bage?
🔴 Guarany de Bage: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 34.03% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.81. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 340 times – this would give you a profit of $615.40
- And would have lost other 660 times – with a loss of -$660.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$44.60.
Handicaps analysis for the match Joinville x Guarany de Bage
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Joinville
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Joinville x Guarany de Bage
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Joinville and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Joinville.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Joinville.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Joinville x Guarany de Bage
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
