Junior x Deportes Tolima Betting tips for December 5 in Colombia Primera A
| 📅 5/12/2024 01:30 |
 Junior2.30 |
X 2.90 |
Deportes Tolima  3.19 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Junior x Deportes Tolima:
🔮 Tied Match
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The main points for the tip for Junior x Deportes Tolima: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Junior in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $89.0. |
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Analysis from Junior x Deportes Tolima for the Colombia Primera A – 5 of December
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🏟️ Junior X Deportes Tolima – Colombia Primera A |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Junior and Deportes Tolima.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1232417 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Junior x Deportes Tolima
Is betting on Junior worth it?
🔵 Junior: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 42.89% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 430 times – this would give you a profit of $559.00
- And would lose other 570 times – having a loss of -$570.00 with them.
Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$11.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 37.85% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 380 times – this would give you a profit of $722.00
- And would have lost other 620 times – with a loss of -$620.00 because of them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$102.00.
Should you bet on Deportes Tolima?
🔴 Deportes Tolima: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 19.26% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.19. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $416.10;
- And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$393.90.
Handicaps analysis for the match Junior x Deportes Tolima
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Junior
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Junior x Deportes Tolima
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Junior and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Junior.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Deportes Tolima.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Junior x Deportes Tolima
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
