Junior x Millonarios Betting tips for November 6 in Colombia Primera A

Our betting tip for Junior x Millonarios, Wednesday, 6/11/2024

📅 6/11/2024 23:30

Junior 2.22

X 3.00

Millonarios 3.20

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Junior x Millonarios:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Junior x Millonarios

Some important points for the tip for Junior x Millonarios: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Junior in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $239.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Millonarios in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $263.0. 👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, Junior scored at least 1.0 goal(s). 👉 In the last 8 matches as the away team, Millonarios scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Millonarios, Junior scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Junior matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Junior conceded at least 1.0 goal(s). 👉 Junior is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 Junior has won all the last 3 matches playing at home against Millonarios.

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Junior x Millonarios?

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Analysis from Junior x Millonarios for the Colombia Primera A – 6 of November

When the best bet on Junior x Millonarios is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1216337 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Junior x Millonarios

Should you bet on Junior?

🔵 Junior: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 41.5%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.22. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 410 times – having a profit of $500.20;
• And would have lost other 590 times – with a loss of -$590.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$89.80.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.79%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 320 times – profiting $640.00;
• And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$40.00.

Is it worth betting on Millonarios?

🔴 Millonarios: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.72% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $594.00;
• And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$136.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Junior x Millonarios

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Junior
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Junior x Millonarios

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Junior, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Junior.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Millonarios.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Junior x Millonarios

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.