Junior x Union Magdalena Betting tips for March 26 in Colombia Primera A

Our betting tip for Junior x Union Magdalena, Wednesday, 26/3/2025

📅 26/3/2025 23:30

Junior 1.60

X 3.60

Union Magdalena 5.46

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Junior x Union Magdalena:

🔮 Junior wins the match
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The main points for the tip for Junior x Union Magdalena: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Junior in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-74.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Union Magdalena in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Junior scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Junior matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Junior conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Union Magdalena conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Junior has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Union Magdalena playing at home.

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Analysis from Junior x Union Magdalena for the Colombia Primera A – 26 of March

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Junior and Union Magdalena.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1289606 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Junior x Union Magdalena

Is it a good idea to bet on Junior?

🔵 Junior: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 69.41% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 690 times – this would give you a profit of $414.00
• And would have lost other 310 times – with a loss of -$310.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$104.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 14.81% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $390.00
• And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$460.00.

Is betting on Union Magdalena worth it?

🔴 Union Magdalena: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.78% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.46. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $713.60
• And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$126.40.

Handicaps analysis for the match Junior x Union Magdalena

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Junior
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Junior x Union Magdalena

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Junior and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Junior.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Junior.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Junior x Union Magdalena

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.