Juticalpa x Motagua Betting tips for November 24 in Honduras Liga Nacional
| 📅 24/11/2024 21:00 |
 Juticalpa4.88 |
X 3.72 |
Motagua  1.60 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Juticalpa x Motagua:
🔮 Motagua wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Motagua, you can win up to $800.00!
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The main points for the tip for Juticalpa x Motagua: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Juticalpa in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-280.0. |
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Analysis from Juticalpa x Motagua for the Honduras Liga Nacional – 24 of November
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🏟️ Juticalpa X Motagua – Honduras Liga Nacional |
When the best bet on Juticalpa x Motagua is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1225593 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Juticalpa x Motagua
Is it worth betting on Juticalpa?
🔵 Juticalpa: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 8.32%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.88. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 80 times – profiting $310.40;
- And would lose other 920 times – having a loss of -$920.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$609.60.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.29% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.72. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 190 times – profiting $516.80;
- And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$293.20.
Is it worth betting on Motagua?
🔴 Motagua: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 72.39%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 720 times – having a profit of $432.00;
- And would lose other 280 times – losing -$280.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$152.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Juticalpa x Motagua
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Juticalpa
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Juticalpa x Motagua
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Juticalpa and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.75 Juticalpa.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.75 Juticalpa.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Juticalpa x Motagua
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
