Juventus x Cagliari Betting tips for December 17 in Coppa Italia

Our betting tip for Juventus x Cagliari, Tuesday, 17/12/2024

📅 17/12/2024 20:00

Juventus 1.32

X 4.90

Cagliari 9.43

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Juventus x Cagliari:

🔮 Juventus wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Juventus, you can win up to $660.00!

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Important information for your tip for Juventus x Cagliari: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Juventus in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $47.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Cagliari in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Juventus scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Cagliari, Juventus scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Cagliari conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 Juventus has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Cagliari playing at home.

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Analysis from Juventus x Cagliari for the Coppa Italia – 17 of December

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Juventus x Cagliari right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1237062 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Juventus x Cagliari

Is it a good idea to bet on Juventus?

🔵 Juventus: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 94.03% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.32. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 940 times – profiting $300.80;
• And would have lost other 60 times – with a loss of -$60.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$240.80.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 5.22% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 50 times – this would give you a profit of $195.00
• And would lose other 950 times – losing -$950.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$755.00.

Is it worth betting on Cagliari?

🔴 Cagliari: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 0.75% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 9.43. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 10 times – having a profit of $84.30;
• And would have lost other 990 times – with a loss of -$990.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$905.70.

Handicaps analysis for the match Juventus x Cagliari

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Juventus
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Juventus x Cagliari

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Juventus, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.5 Juventus.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.5 Cagliari.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Juventus x Cagliari

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.