Kalamata x Panargiakos Betting tips for September 30 in Greece Super League 2

Our betting tip for Kalamata x Panargiakos, Monday, 30/9/2024

📅 30/9/2024 10:30

Kalamata 1.22

X 4.80

Panargiakos 12.63

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Kalamata x Panargiakos:

🔮 Kalamata wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Kalamata, you can win up to $610.00!

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The main points for the tip for Kalamata x Panargiakos: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Kalamata in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-270.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Panargiakos in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $352.0. 👉 Kalamata did not score any goals in the last 4 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 3 Kalamata matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Panargiakos conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Looking for another bookie to bet on Kalamata x Panargiakos?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Kalamata x Panargiakos for the Greece Super League 2 – 30 of September

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Kalamata x Panargiakos right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1191189 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Kalamata x Panargiakos

Is betting on Kalamata worth it?

🔵 Kalamata: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 95.57%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.22. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 960 times – profiting $211.20;
• And would have lost other 40 times – with a loss of -$40.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$171.20.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 4.12% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 40 times – having a profit of $152.00;
• And would have lost other 960 times – with a loss of -$960.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$808.00.

Is betting on Panargiakos worth it?

🔴 Panargiakos: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 0.31%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 12.63. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 0 times – profiting $0.00;
• And would lose other 1000 times – having a loss of -$1000.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$1000.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Kalamata x Panargiakos

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Kalamata
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Kalamata x Panargiakos

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.5 Kalamata and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.75 Kalamata.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.75 Panargiakos.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Kalamata x Panargiakos

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.00. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.