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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Kashiwa Reysol x Sagan Tosu Betting tips for November 25 in Japan J-League
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Japan J-League
Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol
PREDICTION Kashiwa Reysol wins Probability 10% 1 X 2
Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu
ODD: @1.76 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Kashiwa Reysol x Sagan Tosu Betting tips for November 25 in Japan J-League

Our betting tip for Kashiwa Reysol x Sagan Tosu, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
05:00
Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol
1.76
X
3.70
Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu
4.20

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Kashiwa Reysol x Sagan Tosu:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Kashiwa Reysol wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Kashiwa Reysol, you can win up to $880.00!

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The main points for the tip for Kashiwa Reysol x Sagan Tosu:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Kashiwa Reysol in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $260.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Sagan Tosu in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, Kashiwa Reysol scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Sagan Tosu scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team against Sagan Tosu, Kashiwa Reysol scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Sagan Tosu did not receive any yellow cards in the last 3 matches as the away team.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Sagan Tosu conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Kashiwa Reysol conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Sagan Tosu.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Kashiwa Reysol x Sagan Tosu

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Summary

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Analysis from Kashiwa Reysol x Sagan Tosu for the Japan J-League – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Kashiwa Reysol X Sagan Tosu – Japan J-League
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 05:00
๐Ÿ”ต Kashiwa Reysol – Winning probability: 72.44% | Fair line: 1.38
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 17.55% | Fair line: 5.7
๐Ÿ”ด Sagan Tosu – Winning probability: 10.01% | Fair line: 9.99
โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Kashiwa Reysol
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Kashiwa Reysol x Sagan Tosu is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1024927 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Kashiwa Reysol x Sagan Tosu

Is betting on Kashiwa Reysol worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Kashiwa Reysol: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 72.44%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.76. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 720 times – having a profit of $547.20;
  • And would lose other 280 times – having a loss of -$280.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$267.20.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.55%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $486.00
  • And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$334.00.

Should you bet on Sagan Tosu?

๐Ÿ”ด Sagan Tosu: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.01% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 100 times – profiting $320.00;
  • And would have lost other 900 times – with a loss of -$900.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$580.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Kashiwa Reysol x Sagan Tosu

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Kashiwa Reysol
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Kashiwa Reysol x Sagan Tosu

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Kashiwa Reysol, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Kashiwa Reysol.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Kashiwa Reysol.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Kashiwa Reysol x Sagan Tosu

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves