Kashiwa Reysol x Sagan Tosu Betting tips for November 25 in Japan J-League
📊 Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Kashiwa Reysol x Sagan Tosu
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Analysis from Kashiwa Reysol x Sagan Tosu for the Japan J-League – 25 of November
🏟️ Kashiwa Reysol X Sagan Tosu – Japan J-League
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Kashiwa Reysol x Sagan Tosu right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1024961 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Kashiwa Reysol x Sagan Tosu
Should you bet on Kashiwa Reysol?
🔵 Kashiwa Reysol: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 72.29% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 720 times – having a profit of $540.00;
- And would lose other 280 times – losing -$280.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$260.00.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.67% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $486.00;
- And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$334.00.
Should you bet on Sagan Tosu?
🔴 Sagan Tosu: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 10.04% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 100 times – profiting $320.00;
- And would lose other 900 times – losing -$900.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$580.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Kashiwa Reysol x Sagan Tosu
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Kashiwa Reysol
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Kashiwa Reysol x Sagan Tosu
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Kashiwa Reysol and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Kashiwa Reysol.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Kashiwa Reysol.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Kashiwa Reysol x Sagan Tosu
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.