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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Kashiwa Reysol x Sagan Tosu Betting tips for November 25 in Japan J-League
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Japan J-League
Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol
PREDICTION Kashiwa Reysol wins Probability 10% 1 X 2
Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu
ODD: @1.75 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Kashiwa Reysol x Sagan Tosu Betting tips for November 25 in Japan J-League

Our betting tip for Kashiwa Reysol x Sagan Tosu, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
05:00
Kashiwa Reysol Kashiwa Reysol
1.75
X
3.70
Sagan Tosu Sagan Tosu
4.20

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Kashiwa Reysol x Sagan Tosu:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Kashiwa Reysol wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Kashiwa Reysol, you can win up to $875.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Kashiwa Reysol x Sagan Tosu:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Kashiwa Reysol in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $260.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Sagan Tosu in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team, Kashiwa Reysol scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Sagan Tosu scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team against Sagan Tosu, Kashiwa Reysol scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Sagan Tosu did not receive any yellow cards in the last 3 matches as the away team.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Sagan Tosu conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Kashiwa Reysol conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Sagan Tosu.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Kashiwa Reysol x Sagan Tosu

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Summary

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If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2023. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Kashiwa Reysol x Sagan Tosu for the Japan J-League – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Kashiwa Reysol X Sagan Tosu – Japan J-League
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 05:00
๐Ÿ”ต Kashiwa Reysol – Winning probability: 72.29% | Fair line: 1.38
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 17.67% | Fair line: 5.66
๐Ÿ”ด Sagan Tosu – Winning probability: 10.04% | Fair line: 9.96
โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Kashiwa Reysol
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Kashiwa Reysol x Sagan Tosu right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1024961 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Kashiwa Reysol x Sagan Tosu

Should you bet on Kashiwa Reysol?

๐Ÿ”ต Kashiwa Reysol: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 72.29% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 720 times – having a profit of $540.00;
  • And would lose other 280 times – losing -$280.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$260.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 17.67% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $486.00;
  • And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$334.00.

Should you bet on Sagan Tosu?

๐Ÿ”ด Sagan Tosu: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 10.04% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 100 times – profiting $320.00;
  • And would lose other 900 times – losing -$900.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$580.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Kashiwa Reysol x Sagan Tosu

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Kashiwa Reysol
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Kashiwa Reysol x Sagan Tosu

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Kashiwa Reysol and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.75 Kashiwa Reysol.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Kashiwa Reysol.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Kashiwa Reysol x Sagan Tosu

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves