Kawasaki Frontale x Gamba Osaka Betting tips for October 18 in Japan J-League
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18/10/2024 10:00 |
 Kawasaki Frontale2.00 |
X 3.58 |
Gamba Osaka  3.40 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Kawasaki Frontale x Gamba Osaka:
๐ฎ Kawasaki Frontale wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Kawasaki Frontale, you can win up to $1000.00!
๐ฎ Gamba Osaka wins the match
๐ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Gamba Osaka, you can win up to $1700.00!
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The main points for the tip for Kawasaki Frontale x Gamba Osaka: ๐ If you had bet $100 on Kawasaki Frontale in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-23.0. |
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Analysis from Kawasaki Frontale x Gamba Osaka for the Japan J-League – 18 of October
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๐๏ธ Kawasaki Frontale X Gamba Osaka – Japan J-League |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Kawasaki Frontale x Gamba Osaka right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1203372 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Kawasaki Frontale x Gamba Osaka
Should you bet on Kawasaki Frontale?
๐ต Kawasaki Frontale: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 54.39%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 540 times – this would give you a profit of $540.00
- And would lose other 460 times – losing -$460.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐ฐ$80.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
โช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 16.99% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.58. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 170 times – this would give you a profit of $438.60
- And would lose other 830 times – having a loss of -$830.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐ฐ-$391.40.
Is betting on Gamba Osaka worth it?
๐ด Gamba Osaka: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.62% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $696.00;
- And would lose other 710 times – losing -$710.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐ฐ$14.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Kawasaki Frontale x Gamba Osaka
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
โ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Kawasaki Frontale
โฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Kawasaki Frontale x Gamba Osaka
โ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Kawasaki Frontale, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Kawasaki Frontale.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Kawasaki Frontale x Gamba Osaka
โฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.
