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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Kawasaki Frontale x Kashima Antlers Betting tips for November 24 in Japan J-League
Friday, 24 November 2023, 00h00 Japan J-League
Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale
PREDICTION Kawasaki Frontale wins Probability 15% 1 X 2
Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers
ODD: @1.95 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Kawasaki Frontale x Kashima Antlers Betting tips for November 24 in Japan J-League

Our betting tip for Kawasaki Frontale x Kashima Antlers, Friday, 24/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 24/11/2023
10:00
Kawasaki Frontale Kawasaki Frontale
1.95
X
3.55
Kashima Antlers Kashima Antlers
3.55

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Kawasaki Frontale x Kashima Antlers:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Kawasaki Frontale wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Kawasaki Frontale, you can win up to $975.00!

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Important information for your tip for Kawasaki Frontale x Kashima Antlers:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Kawasaki Frontale in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $196.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Kashima Antlers in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the home team, Kawasaki Frontale scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Kashima Antlers, Kawasaki Frontale scored at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 Kawasaki Frontale matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Kawasaki Frontale x Kashima Antlers, with Kawasaki Frontale as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Kashima Antlers did not receive any yellow cards in the last 3 matches as the away team.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Kawasaki Frontale conceded at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Kawasaki Frontale conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Kashima Antlers.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Kawasaki Frontale has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against Kashima Antlers.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Kawasaki Frontale x Kashima Antlers

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Summary

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Analysis from Kawasaki Frontale x Kashima Antlers for the Japan J-League – 24 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Kawasaki Frontale X Kashima Antlers – Japan J-League
๐Ÿ“… 24 of November, 2023 – 10:00
๐Ÿ”ต Kawasaki Frontale – Winning probability: 59.09% | Fair line: 1.69
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.29% | Fair line: 3.95
๐Ÿ”ด Kashima Antlers – Winning probability: 15.62% | Fair line: 6.4
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Kawasaki Frontale
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Kawasaki Frontale x Kashima Antlers right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1024961 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Kawasaki Frontale x Kashima Antlers

Is it a good idea to bet on Kawasaki Frontale?

๐Ÿ”ต Kawasaki Frontale: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 59.09% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.95. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 590 times – this would give you a profit of $560.50
  • And would have lost other 410 times – with a loss of -$410.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$150.50.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.29% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – this would give you a profit of $637.50
  • And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$112.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on Kashima Antlers?

๐Ÿ”ด Kashima Antlers: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.62%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.55. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $408.00;
  • And would lose other 840 times – having a loss of -$840.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$432.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Kawasaki Frontale x Kashima Antlers

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Kawasaki Frontale
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Kawasaki Frontale x Kashima Antlers

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Kawasaki Frontale, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Kawasaki Frontale.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Kashima Antlers.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Kawasaki Frontale x Kashima Antlers

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves