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Home » Predictions » Others » Kettering x Doncaster Betting tips for December 1 in England FA Cup
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 12h00 England FA Cup
Kettering Kettering
PREDICTION Doncaster Wins Probability 93% 1 X 2
Doncaster Doncaster
ODD: @1.33 Don't miss this prediction!

Kettering x Doncaster Betting tips for December 1 in England FA Cup

Our betting tip for Kettering x Doncaster, Sunday, 1/12/2024
📅 1/12/2024
12:00
Kettering Kettering
8.00
X
5.25
Doncaster Doncaster
1.33

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Kettering x Doncaster:

🔮 Doncaster wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Doncaster, you can win up to $665.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Kettering x Doncaster:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Kettering in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $222.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Doncaster in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $405.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Kettering scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Kettering matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Kettering conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 road matches, Doncaster has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Kettering x Doncaster?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Kettering x Doncaster for the England FA Cup – 1 of December

🏟️ Kettering X Doncaster – England FA Cup
📅 1 of December, 2024 – 12:00
🔵 Kettering – Winning probability: 2.19% | Fair line: 45.75
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 4.29% | Fair line: 23.32
🔴 Doncaster – Winning probability: 93.53% | Fair line: 1.07
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Kettering
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Kettering x Doncaster is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Kettering x Doncaster

Should you bet on Kettering?

🔵 Kettering: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 2.19% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 8.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 20 times – having a profit of $140.00;
  • And would lose other 980 times – losing -$980.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$840.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 4.29% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 40 times – having a profit of $170.00;
  • And would lose other 960 times – having a loss of -$960.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$790.00.

Is betting on Doncaster worth it?

🔴 Doncaster: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 93.53% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.33. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 940 times – this would give you a profit of $310.20
  • And would have lost other 60 times – with a loss of -$60.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$250.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Kettering x Doncaster

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Kettering
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Kettering x Doncaster

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +1.0 Kettering and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +1.5 Kettering.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.5 Kettering.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Kettering x Doncaster

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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