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Home » Predictions » Others » KF Besa Doberdoll x AP Brera Strumica Betting tips for November 27 in North Macedonia First League
Wednesday, 27 November 2024, 12h00 North Macedonia First League
KF Besa Doberdoll KF Besa Doberdoll
PREDICTION KF Besa Doberdoll wins Probability 59% 1 X 2
AP Brera Strumica AP Brera Strumica
ODD: @1.91 Don't miss this prediction!

KF Besa Doberdoll x AP Brera Strumica Betting tips for November 27 in North Macedonia First League

Our betting tip for KF Besa Doberdoll x AP Brera Strumica, Wednesday, 27/11/2024
📅 27/11/2024
12:00
KF Besa Doberdoll KF Besa Doberdoll
1.91
X
3.40
AP Brera Strumica AP Brera Strumica
3.31

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for KF Besa Doberdoll x AP Brera Strumica:

🔮 KF Besa Doberdoll wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on KF Besa Doberdoll, you can win up to $955.00!

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The main points for the tip for KF Besa Doberdoll x AP Brera Strumica:

👉 If you had bet $100 on KF Besa Doberdoll in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-103.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on AP Brera Strumica in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-190.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, KF Besa Doberdoll scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, AP Brera Strumica scored at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from KF Besa Doberdoll x AP Brera Strumica for the North Macedonia First League – 27 of November

🏟️ KF Besa Doberdoll X AP Brera Strumica – North Macedonia First League
📅 27 of November, 2024 – 12:00
🔵 KF Besa Doberdoll – Winning probability: 59.62% | Fair line: 1.68
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.38% | Fair line: 4.1
🔴 AP Brera Strumica – Winning probability: 16.00% | Fair line: 6.25
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 KF Besa Doberdoll
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between KF Besa Doberdoll and AP Brera Strumica.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1228778 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for KF Besa Doberdoll x AP Brera Strumica

Is it worth betting on KF Besa Doberdoll?

🔵 KF Besa Doberdoll: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 59.62% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.91. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 600 times – having a profit of $546.00;
  • And would lose other 400 times – having a loss of -$400.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$146.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.38% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $576.00;
  • And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$184.00.

Is it worth betting on AP Brera Strumica?

🔴 AP Brera Strumica: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.0% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.31. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $369.60
  • And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$470.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match KF Besa Doberdoll x AP Brera Strumica

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 KF Besa Doberdoll
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for KF Besa Doberdoll x AP Brera Strumica

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 KF Besa Doberdoll, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 KF Besa Doberdoll.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 AP Brera Strumica.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for KF Besa Doberdoll x AP Brera Strumica

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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