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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป KF Fushe Kosova x KF Dukagjini Betting tips for November 25 in Kosovo Superliga
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Kosovo Superliga
KF Fushe Kosova KF Fushe Kosova
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 45% 1 X 2
KF Dukagjini KF Dukagjini
ODD: @3 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

KF Fushe Kosova x KF Dukagjini Betting tips for November 25 in Kosovo Superliga

Our betting tip for KF Fushe Kosova x KF Dukagjini, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
12:00
KF Fushe Kosova KF Fushe Kosova
3.00
X
3.00
KF Dukagjini KF Dukagjini
2.25

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for KF Fushe Kosova x KF Dukagjini:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tied Match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1500.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for KF Fushe Kosova x KF Dukagjini:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on KF Dukagjini in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-160.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ KF Fushรซ Kosova did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, KF Dukagjini scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 KF Fushรซ Kosova matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 KF Dukagjini matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 8 matches as the away team, KF Dukagjini conceded at least 1 goal(s).

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for KF Fushe Kosova x KF Dukagjini

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Summary

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Analysis from KF Fushe Kosova x KF Dukagjini for the Kosovo Superliga – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ KF Fushe Kosova X KF Dukagjini – Kosovo Superliga
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 12:00
๐Ÿ”ต KF Fushe Kosova – Winning probability: 19.00% | Fair line: 5.26
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 35.21% | Fair line: 2.84
๐Ÿ”ด KF Dukagjini – Winning probability: 45.79% | Fair line: 2.18
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 KF Fushe Kosova
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for KF Fushe Kosova x KF Dukagjini right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1025263 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for KF Fushe Kosova x KF Dukagjini

Is betting on KF Fushe Kosova worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต KF Fushe Kosova: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.0% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – this would give you a profit of $380.00
  • And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$430.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 35.21%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 350 times – profiting $700.00;
  • And would have lost other 650 times – with a loss of -$650.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$50.00.

Is it worth betting on KF Dukagjini?

๐Ÿ”ด KF Dukagjini: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 45.79% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 460 times – having a profit of $575.00;
  • And would have lost other 540 times – with a loss of -$540.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just ๐Ÿ’ฐ$35.00. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

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Handicaps analysis for the match KF Fushe Kosova x KF Dukagjini

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 KF Fushe Kosova
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for KF Fushe Kosova x KF Dukagjini

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 KF Fushe Kosova, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 KF Fushe Kosova.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for KF Fushe Kosova x KF Dukagjini

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves