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Home Β» Predictions Β» KF Llapi x FC Suhareka Betting tips for September 27 in Kosovo Superliga
Friday, 27 September 2024, 10h00 Kosovo Superliga
KF Llapi KF Llapi
PREDICTION No tip
FC Suhareka FC Suhareka
Don't miss this prediction!

KF Llapi x FC Suhareka Betting tips for September 27 in Kosovo Superliga

Our betting tip for KF Llapi x FC Suhareka, Friday, 27/9/2024
πŸ“… 27/9/2024
10:00
KF Llapi KF Llapi
1.78
X
3.40
FC Suhareka FC Suhareka
4.10

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for KF Llapi x FC Suhareka:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for KF Llapi x FC Suhareka

Some important points for the tip for KF Llapi x FC Suhareka:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on KF Llapi in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-262.0.
πŸ‘‰ FC Suhareka did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as away team.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 KF Llapi matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 FC Suhareka matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 road matches, FC Suhareka has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from KF Llapi x FC Suhareka for the Kosovo Superliga – 27 of September

🏟️ KF Llapi X FC Suhareka – Kosovo Superliga
πŸ“… 27 of September, 2024 – 10:00
πŸ”΅ KF Llapi – Winning probability: 57.80% | Fair line: 1.73
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.65% | Fair line: 4.06
πŸ”΄ FC Suhareka – Winning probability: 17.55% | Fair line: 5.7
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 KF Llapi
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for KF Llapi x FC Suhareka right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1189524 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for KF Llapi x FC Suhareka

Is betting on KF Llapi worth it?

πŸ”΅ KF Llapi: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 57.8%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.78. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 580 times – having a profit of $452.40;
  • And would lose other 420 times – losing -$420.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$32.40, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.65% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – profiting $600.00;
  • And would lose other 750 times – having a loss of -$750.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$150.00.

Should you bet on FC Suhareka?

πŸ”΄ FC Suhareka: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.55%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $558.00;
  • And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$262.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match KF Llapi x FC Suhareka

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 KF Llapi
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for KF Llapi x FC Suhareka

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 KF Llapi and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 KF Llapi.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for KF Llapi x FC Suhareka

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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