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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป KF Tirana x FK Kukesi Betting tips for November 23 in Albania Championship
Thursday, 23 November 2023, 00h00 Albania Championship
KF Tirana KF Tirana
PREDICTION KF Tirana wins Probability 10% 1 X 2
FK Kukesi FK Kukesi
ODD: @2.03 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

KF Tirana x FK Kukesi Betting tips for November 23 in Albania Championship

Our betting tip for KF Tirana x FK Kukesi, Thursday, 23/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 23/11/2023
19:00
KF Tirana KF Tirana
2.03
X
3.20
FK Kukesi FK Kukesi
3.30

Our algorithm has selected this tip for KF Tirana x FK Kukesi:

๐Ÿ”ฎ KF Tirana wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on KF Tirana, you can win up to $1015.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for KF Tirana x FK Kukesi:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on KF Tirana in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-338.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, KF Tirana scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team against FK Kukesi, KF Tirana scored at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 head-to-head matches between KF Tirana x FK Kukesi, with KF Tirana as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, KF Tirana conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against FK Kukesi.

๐Ÿ“Š You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for KF Tirana x FK Kukesi

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Summary

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Analysis from KF Tirana x FK Kukesi for the Albania Championship – 23 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ KF Tirana X FK Kukesi – Albania Championship
๐Ÿ“… 23 of November, 2023 – 19:00
๐Ÿ”ต KF Tirana – Winning probability: 77.64% | Fair line: 1.29
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 12.09% | Fair line: 8.27
๐Ÿ”ด FK Kukesi – Winning probability: 10.27% | Fair line: 9.74
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 KF Tirana
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between KF Tirana and FK Kukesi.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1024927 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for KF Tirana x FK Kukesi

Is betting on KF Tirana worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต KF Tirana: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 77.64%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.03. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 780 times – this would give you a profit of $803.40
  • And would lose other 220 times – having a loss of -$220.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$583.40.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.09% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 120 times – this would give you a profit of $264.00
  • And would lose other 880 times – having a loss of -$880.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$616.00.

Should you bet on FK Kukesi?

๐Ÿ”ด FK Kukesi: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 10.27% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 100 times – profiting $230.00;
  • And would have lost other 900 times – with a loss of -$900.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$670.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match KF Tirana x FK Kukesi

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 KF Tirana
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for KF Tirana x FK Kukesi

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 KF Tirana, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 KF Tirana.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 KF Tirana.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for KF Tirana x FK Kukesi

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves