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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป KF Vjosa x KF Kika Betting tips for November 24 in Kosovo Division 1
Friday, 24 November 2023, 00h00 Kosovo Division 1
KF Vjosa KF Vjosa
PREDICTION KF Vjosa wins Probability 1% 1 X 2
KF Kika KF Kika
ODD: @1.45 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

KF Vjosa x KF Kika Betting tips for November 24 in Kosovo Division 1

Our betting tip for KF Vjosa x KF Kika, Friday, 24/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 24/11/2023
12:00
KF Vjosa KF Vjosa
1.45
X
3.75
KF Kika KF Kika
6.20

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for KF Vjosa x KF Kika:

๐Ÿ”ฎ KF Vjosa wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on KF Vjosa, you can win up to $725.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for KF Vjosa x KF Kika:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on KF Kika in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, KF Vjosa scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 KF Vjosa matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, KF Vjosa conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, KF Kika conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ It is not a good time for KF Kika as away team: it comes from 7 losses in a row in its last away matches.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for KF Vjosa x KF Kika

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

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Analysis from KF Vjosa x KF Kika for the Kosovo Division 1 – 24 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ KF Vjosa X KF Kika – Kosovo Division 1
๐Ÿ“… 24 of November, 2023 – 12:00
๐Ÿ”ต KF Vjosa – Winning probability: 91.08% | Fair line: 1.1
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 7.81% | Fair line: 12.81
๐Ÿ”ด KF Kika – Winning probability: 1.11% | Fair line: 90.03
โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.25 KF Vjosa
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for KF Vjosa x KF Kika right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1024961 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for KF Vjosa x KF Kika

Is betting on KF Vjosa worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต KF Vjosa: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 91.08% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.45. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 910 times – this would give you a profit of $409.50
  • And would lose other 90 times – losing -$90.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$319.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 7.81% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 80 times – this would give you a profit of $220.00
  • And would lose other 920 times – having a loss of -$920.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$700.00.

Is betting on KF Kika worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด KF Kika: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 1.11% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 10 times – having a profit of $52.00;
  • And would lose other 990 times – having a loss of -$990.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$938.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match KF Vjosa x KF Kika

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.25 KF Vjosa
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for KF Vjosa x KF Kika

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 KF Vjosa, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 KF Vjosa.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 KF Vjosa.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for KF Vjosa x KF Kika

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves