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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Kickers Offenbach x VfR Aalen Betting tips for November 24 in Germany Regionalliga South West
Friday, 24 November 2023, 00h00 Germany Regionalliga South West
Kickers Offenbach Kickers Offenbach
PREDICTION Kickers Offenbach wins Probability 11% 1 X 2
VfR Aalen VfR Aalen
ODD: @1.6 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Kickers Offenbach x VfR Aalen Betting tips for November 24 in Germany Regionalliga South West

Our betting tip for Kickers Offenbach x VfR Aalen, Friday, 24/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 24/11/2023
18:00
Kickers Offenbach Kickers Offenbach
1.60
X
3.80
VfR Aalen VfR Aalen
4.38

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Kickers Offenbach x VfR Aalen:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Kickers Offenbach wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Kickers Offenbach, you can win up to $800.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Kickers Offenbach x VfR Aalen:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Kickers Offenbach in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-174.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on VfR Aalen in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-317.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Kickers Offenbach scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 VfR Aalen matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, VfR Aalen conceded at least 2 goal(s).

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Kickers Offenbach x VfR Aalen

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Summary

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Kickers Offenbach x VfR Aalen?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Kickers Offenbach x VfR Aalen, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2023. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Kickers Offenbach x VfR Aalen for the Germany Regionalliga South West – 24 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Kickers Offenbach X VfR Aalen – Germany Regionalliga South West
๐Ÿ“… 24 of November, 2023 – 18:00
๐Ÿ”ต Kickers Offenbach – Winning probability: 67.92% | Fair line: 1.47
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 20.60% | Fair line: 4.85
๐Ÿ”ด VfR Aalen – Winning probability: 11.47% | Fair line: 8.71
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Kickers Offenbach
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Kickers Offenbach x VfR Aalen right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1024961 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Kickers Offenbach x VfR Aalen

Is it a good idea to bet on Kickers Offenbach?

๐Ÿ”ต Kickers Offenbach: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 67.92%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 680 times – having a profit of $408.00;
  • And would lose other 320 times – losing -$320.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$88.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 20.6%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – profiting $588.00;
  • And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$202.00.

Is it worth betting on VfR Aalen?

๐Ÿ”ด VfR Aalen: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 11.47%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.38. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 110 times – having a profit of $371.80;
  • And would lose other 890 times – losing -$890.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$518.20.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Kickers Offenbach x VfR Aalen

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Kickers Offenbach
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Kickers Offenbach x VfR Aalen

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Kickers Offenbach, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Kickers Offenbach. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Kickers Offenbach x VfR Aalen

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves