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Home » Predictions » Others » Kilmarnock x Dundee Betting tips for November 30 in Scotland Premiership
Saturday, 30 November 2024, 15h00 Scotland Premiership
Kilmarnock Kilmarnock
PREDICTION Dundee Wins Probability 34% 1 X 2
Dundee Dundee
ODD: @3.5 Don't miss this prediction!

Kilmarnock x Dundee Betting tips for November 30 in Scotland Premiership

Our betting tip for Kilmarnock x Dundee, Saturday, 30/11/2024
📅 30/11/2024
15:00
Kilmarnock Kilmarnock
2.00
X
3.50
Dundee Dundee
3.50

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Kilmarnock x Dundee:

🔮 Dundee wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Dundee, you can win up to $1750.00!

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The main points for the tip for Kilmarnock x Dundee:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Kilmarnock in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $150.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Dundee in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-175.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Dundee, Kilmarnock scored at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Kilmarnock x Dundee for the Scotland Premiership – 30 of November

🏟️ Kilmarnock X Dundee – Scotland Premiership
📅 30 of November, 2024 – 15:00
🔵 Kilmarnock – Winning probability: 43.43% | Fair line: 2.3
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.41% | Fair line: 4.46
🔴 Dundee – Winning probability: 34.17% | Fair line: 2.93
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Kilmarnock
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Kilmarnock x Dundee right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1229690 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Kilmarnock x Dundee

Should you bet on Kilmarnock?

🔵 Kilmarnock: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 43.43% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 430 times – having a profit of $430.00;
  • And would lose other 570 times – having a loss of -$570.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$140.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.41% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $550.00;
  • And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$230.00.

Should you bet on Dundee?

🔴 Dundee: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 34.17% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 340 times – profiting $850.00;
  • And would have lost other 660 times – with a loss of -$660.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$190.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Kilmarnock x Dundee

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Kilmarnock
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Kilmarnock x Dundee

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Kilmarnock, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Kilmarnock.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Dundee.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Kilmarnock x Dundee

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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