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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Kitara FC x UPDF FC Betting tips for November 22 in Uganda Premier League
Friday, 22 November 2024, 13h00 Uganda Premier League
Kitara FC Kitara FC
PREDICTION No tip
UPDF FC UPDF FC
Don't miss this prediction!

Kitara FC x UPDF FC Betting tips for November 22 in Uganda Premier League

Our betting tip for Kitara FC x UPDF FC, Friday, 22/11/2024
πŸ“… 22/11/2024
13:00
Kitara FC Kitara FC
2.19
X
3.00
UPDF FC UPDF FC
3.20

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Kitara FC x UPDF FC:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Kitara FC x UPDF FC

The main points for the tip for Kitara FC x UPDF FC:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Kitara FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ UPDF FC did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team against UPDF FC, Kitara FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Kitara FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ It is not a good time for Kitara FC as home team: it comes from 6 losses in a row in its last home matches.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Kitara FC x UPDF FC?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Kitara FC x UPDF FC, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Kitara FC x UPDF FC for the Uganda Premier League – 22 of November

🏟️ Kitara FC X UPDF FC – Uganda Premier League
πŸ“… 22 of November, 2024 – 13:00
πŸ”΅ Kitara FC – Winning probability: 48.74% | Fair line: 2.05
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 28.27% | Fair line: 3.54
πŸ”΄ UPDF FC – Winning probability: 23.00% | Fair line: 4.35
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Kitara FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Kitara FC x UPDF FC is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1225516 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Kitara FC x UPDF FC

Is it worth betting on Kitara FC?

πŸ”΅ Kitara FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 48.74% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.19. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 490 times – this would give you a profit of $583.10
  • And would lose other 510 times – losing -$510.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$73.10. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 28.27% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $560.00
  • And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$160.00.

Is it worth betting on UPDF FC?

πŸ”΄ UPDF FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 23.0% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $506.00;
  • And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$264.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Kitara FC x UPDF FC

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Kitara FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Kitara FC x UPDF FC

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Kitara FC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Kitara FC.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Kitara FC x UPDF FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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