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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Kitchee x Southern District Betting tips for November 24 in Hong Kong Premier League
Friday, 24 November 2023, 00h00 Hong Kong Premier League
Kitchee Kitchee
PREDICTION Kitchee wins Probability 0% 1 X 2
Southern District Southern District
ODD: @1.35 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Kitchee x Southern District Betting tips for November 24 in Hong Kong Premier League

Our betting tip for Kitchee x Southern District, Friday, 24/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 24/11/2023
12:00
Kitchee Kitchee
1.35
X
4.88
Southern District Southern District
6.53

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Kitchee x Southern District:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Kitchee wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Kitchee, you can win up to $675.00!

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Important information for your tip for Kitchee x Southern District:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Kitchee in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-92.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Southern District in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-264.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 10 matches as the home team, Kitchee scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Southern District, Kitchee scored at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Kitchee x Southern District, with Kitchee as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Kitchee is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Kitchee has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against Southern District.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Kitchee x Southern District

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Summary

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Analysis from Kitchee x Southern District for the Hong Kong Premier League – 24 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Kitchee X Southern District – Hong Kong Premier League
๐Ÿ“… 24 of November, 2023 – 12:00
๐Ÿ”ต Kitchee – Winning probability: 94.36% | Fair line: 1.06
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 4.97% | Fair line: 20.12
๐Ÿ”ด Southern District – Winning probability: 0.67% | Fair line: 150.23
โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Kitchee
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Kitchee x Southern District right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1024961 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Kitchee x Southern District

Is it a good idea to bet on Kitchee?

๐Ÿ”ต Kitchee: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 94.36% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.35. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 940 times – this would give you a profit of $329.00
  • And would lose other 60 times – having a loss of -$60.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$269.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 4.97% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.88. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 50 times – profiting $194.00;
  • And would have lost other 950 times – with a loss of -$950.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$756.00.

Is it worth betting on Southern District?

๐Ÿ”ด Southern District: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.67% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.53. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 10 times – profiting $55.30;
  • And would have lost other 990 times – with a loss of -$990.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$934.70.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Kitchee x Southern District

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Kitchee
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Kitchee x Southern District

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.5 Kitchee, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.5 Kitchee.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Kitchee x Southern District

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves