Kitchee x Southern District Betting tips for November 24 in Hong Kong Premier League
📊 Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for Kitchee x Southern District
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Analysis from Kitchee x Southern District for the Hong Kong Premier League – 24 of November
🏟️ Kitchee X Southern District – Hong Kong Premier League
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Kitchee x Southern District right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1024961 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Kitchee x Southern District
Is it a good idea to bet on Kitchee?
🔵 Kitchee: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 94.36% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.35. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 940 times – this would give you a profit of $329.00
- And would lose other 60 times – having a loss of -$60.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$269.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 4.97% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.88. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 50 times – profiting $194.00;
- And would have lost other 950 times – with a loss of -$950.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$756.00.
Is it worth betting on Southern District?
🔴 Southern District: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.67% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.53. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 10 times – profiting $55.30;
- And would have lost other 990 times – with a loss of -$990.00 because of them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$934.70.
Handicaps analysis for the match Kitchee x Southern District
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 Kitchee
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Kitchee x Southern District
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.5 Kitchee, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.5 Kitchee.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Kitchee x Southern District
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.50 goals.