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Home » Predictions » Others » Kocaelispor x Adanaspor Betting tips for November 29 in Turkey 1 Lig
Friday, 29 November 2024, 17h00 Turkey 1 Lig
Kocaelispor Kocaelispor
PREDICTION Kocaelispor wins Probability 90% 1 X 2
Adanaspor Adanaspor
ODD: @1.35 Don't miss this prediction!

Kocaelispor x Adanaspor Betting tips for November 29 in Turkey 1 Lig

Our betting tip for Kocaelispor x Adanaspor, Friday, 29/11/2024
📅 29/11/2024
17:00
Kocaelispor Kocaelispor
1.35
X
4.50
Adanaspor Adanaspor
7.87

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Kocaelispor x Adanaspor:

🔮 Kocaelispor wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Kocaelispor, you can win up to $675.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Kocaelispor x Adanaspor:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Kocaelispor in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-155.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Adanaspor in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 Adanaspor did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Kocaelispor scored at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Kocaelispor x Adanaspor for the Turkey 1 Lig – 29 of November

🏟️ Kocaelispor X Adanaspor – Turkey 1 Lig
📅 29 of November, 2024 – 17:00
🔵 Kocaelispor – Winning probability: 90.30% | Fair line: 1.11
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 7.27% | Fair line: 13.76
🔴 Adanaspor – Winning probability: 2.43% | Fair line: 41.11
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Kocaelispor
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Kocaelispor x Adanaspor is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1229376 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Kocaelispor x Adanaspor

Should you bet on Kocaelispor?

🔵 Kocaelispor: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 90.3% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.35. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 900 times – this would give you a profit of $315.00
  • And would lose other 100 times – losing -$100.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$215.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 7.27% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 70 times – having a profit of $245.00;
  • And would have lost other 930 times – with a loss of -$930.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$685.00.

Should you bet on Adanaspor?

🔴 Adanaspor: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 2.43% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 7.87. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 20 times – having a profit of $137.40;
  • And would lose other 980 times – having a loss of -$980.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$842.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Kocaelispor x Adanaspor

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.75 Kocaelispor
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Kocaelispor x Adanaspor

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.75 Kocaelispor and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.5 Kocaelispor.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.5 Kocaelispor.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Kocaelispor x Adanaspor

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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