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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Koninklijke HFC x ACV Assen Betting tips for November 25 in Netherlands Tweede Divisie
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Netherlands Tweede Divisie
Koninklijke HFC Koninklijke HFC
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 33% 1 X 2
ACV Assen ACV Assen
ODD: @3.35 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Koninklijke HFC x ACV Assen Betting tips for November 25 in Netherlands Tweede Divisie

Our betting tip for Koninklijke HFC x ACV Assen, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
14:30
Koninklijke HFC Koninklijke HFC
2.28
X
3.35
ACV Assen ACV Assen
2.68

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Koninklijke HFC x ACV Assen:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Tied Match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1675.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Koninklijke HFC x ACV Assen:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Koninklijke HFC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-69.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on ACV Assen in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $450.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, ACV Assen scored at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 ACV Assen matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 road matches, ACV Assen has not lost any of them.

๐Ÿ“Š You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Koninklijke HFC x ACV Assen

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Summary

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Analysis from Koninklijke HFC x ACV Assen for the Netherlands Tweede Divisie – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Koninklijke HFC X ACV Assen – Netherlands Tweede Divisie
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 14:30
๐Ÿ”ต Koninklijke HFC – Winning probability: 31.22% | Fair line: 3.2
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 35.64% | Fair line: 2.81
๐Ÿ”ด ACV Assen – Winning probability: 33.14% | Fair line: 3.02
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Koninklijke HFC
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Koninklijke HFC x ACV Assen right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1025263 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Koninklijke HFC x ACV Assen

Is betting on Koninklijke HFC worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Koninklijke HFC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.22% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.28. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – profiting $396.80;
  • And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$293.20.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 35.64%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.35. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 360 times – profiting $846.00;
  • And would lose other 640 times – losing -$640.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$206.00.

Is betting on ACV Assen worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด ACV Assen: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 33.14%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.68. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – profiting $554.40;
  • And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$115.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Koninklijke HFC x ACV Assen

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Koninklijke HFC
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Koninklijke HFC x ACV Assen

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Koninklijke HFC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Koninklijke HFC.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 ACV Assen.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Koninklijke HFC x ACV Assen

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.25 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves