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Home » Predictions » Others » Konyaspor x Hatayspor Betting tips for November 24 in Turkey Super Lig
Sunday, 24 November 2024, 13h00 Turkey Super Lig
Konyaspor Konyaspor
PREDICTION Hatayspor Wins Probability 30% 1 X 2
Hatayspor Hatayspor
ODD: @3.83 Don't miss this prediction!

Konyaspor x Hatayspor Betting tips for November 24 in Turkey Super Lig

Our betting tip for Konyaspor x Hatayspor, Sunday, 24/11/2024
📅 24/11/2024
13:00
Konyaspor Konyaspor
1.91
X
3.40
Hatayspor Hatayspor
3.83

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Konyaspor x Hatayspor:

🔮 Hatayspor wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Hatayspor, you can win up to $1915.00!

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The main points for the tip for Konyaspor x Hatayspor:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Konyaspor in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-7.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Hatayspor in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-390.0.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Hatayspor, Konyaspor scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Konyaspor has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Hatayspor playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Konyaspor x Hatayspor for the Turkey Super Lig – 24 of November

🏟️ Konyaspor X Hatayspor – Turkey Super Lig
📅 24 of November, 2024 – 13:00
🔵 Konyaspor – Winning probability: 53.51% | Fair line: 1.87
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 15.92% | Fair line: 6.28
🔴 Hatayspor – Winning probability: 30.57% | Fair line: 3.27
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Konyaspor
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Konyaspor x Hatayspor is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1226364 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Konyaspor x Hatayspor

Is it a good idea to bet on Konyaspor?

🔵 Konyaspor: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 53.51% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.91. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 540 times – having a profit of $491.40;
  • And would lose other 460 times – losing -$460.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$31.40 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 15.92% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $384.00;
  • And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$456.00.

Should you bet on Hatayspor?

🔴 Hatayspor: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.57% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.83. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $877.30
  • And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$187.30.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Konyaspor x Hatayspor

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Konyaspor
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Konyaspor x Hatayspor

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Konyaspor, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Konyaspor.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Hatayspor.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Konyaspor x Hatayspor

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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