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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Konyaspor x Kasimpasa Betting tips for November 25 in Turkey Super Lig
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Turkey Super Lig
Konyaspor Konyaspor
PREDICTION Konyaspor wins Probability 15% 1 X 2
Kasimpasa Kasimpasa
ODD: @2.05 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Konyaspor x Kasimpasa Betting tips for November 25 in Turkey Super Lig

Our betting tip for Konyaspor x Kasimpasa, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
13:00
Konyaspor Konyaspor
2.05
X
3.50
Kasimpasa Kasimpasa
3.20

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Konyaspor x Kasimpasa:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Konyaspor wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Konyaspor, you can win up to $1025.00!

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The main points for the tip for Konyaspor x Kasimpasa:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Konyaspor in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-364.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Kasimpasa in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $185.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, Konyaspor scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Kasimpasa scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team against Kasimpasa, Konyaspor scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Konyaspor conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Kasimpasa.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Konyaspor has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Kasimpasa playing at home.

๐Ÿ“Š You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Konyaspor x Kasimpasa

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Summary

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Analysis from Konyaspor x Kasimpasa for the Turkey Super Lig – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Konyaspor X Kasimpasa – Turkey Super Lig
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 13:00
๐Ÿ”ต Konyaspor – Winning probability: 58.38% | Fair line: 1.71
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.87% | Fair line: 3.87
๐Ÿ”ด Kasimpasa – Winning probability: 15.75% | Fair line: 6.35
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Konyaspor
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Konyaspor x Kasimpasa is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1024927 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Konyaspor x Kasimpasa

Is betting on Konyaspor worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Konyaspor: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 58.38% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.05. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 580 times – this would give you a profit of $609.00
  • And would have lost other 420 times – with a loss of -$420.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$189.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.87% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – profiting $650.00;
  • And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$90.00.

Is betting on Kasimpasa worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด Kasimpasa: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.75%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 160 times – this would give you a profit of $352.00
  • And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$488.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Konyaspor x Kasimpasa

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Konyaspor
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Konyaspor x Kasimpasa

โš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Konyaspor and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Konyaspor.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Konyaspor.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Konyaspor x Kasimpasa

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves