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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป KP Starogard Gdanski x Unia Swarzedz Betting tips for November 25 in Poland III Liga
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 Poland III Liga
KP Starogard Gdanski KP Starogard Gdanski
PREDICTION Unia Swarzedz Wins Probability 77% 1 X 2
Unia Swarzedz Unia Swarzedz
ODD: @1.57 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

KP Starogard Gdanski x Unia Swarzedz Betting tips for November 25 in Poland III Liga

Our betting tip for KP Starogard Gdanski x Unia Swarzedz, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
12:00
KP Starogard Gdanski KP Starogard Gdanski
4.58
X
4.00
Unia Swarzedz Unia Swarzedz
1.57

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for KP Starogard Gdanski x Unia Swarzedz:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Unia Swarzedz wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Unia Swarzedz, you can win up to $785.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for KP Starogard Gdanski x Unia Swarzedz:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on KP Starogard Gdanski in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Unia Swarzedz in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-270.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the away team, Unia Swarzedz scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 KP Starogard Gdanski matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 6 Unia Swarzedz matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, KP Starogard Gdanski conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Unia Swarzedz conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ It is not a good time for KP Starogard Gdanski as home team: it comes from 7 losses in a row in its last home matches.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis from this match on Betfellows: Complete prognostic for KP Starogard Gdanski x Unia Swarzedz

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Summary

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Analysis from KP Starogard Gdanski x Unia Swarzedz for the Poland III Liga – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ KP Starogard Gdanski X Unia Swarzedz – Poland III Liga
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 12:00
๐Ÿ”ต KP Starogard Gdanski – Winning probability: 7.55% | Fair line: 13.25
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 14.72% | Fair line: 6.79
๐Ÿ”ด Unia Swarzedz – Winning probability: 77.74% | Fair line: 1.29
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.75 KP Starogard Gdanski
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on KP Starogard Gdanski x Unia Swarzedz is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1025263 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for KP Starogard Gdanski x Unia Swarzedz

Is it a good idea to bet on KP Starogard Gdanski?

๐Ÿ”ต KP Starogard Gdanski: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 7.55% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.58. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 80 times – profiting $286.40;
  • And would have lost other 920 times – with a loss of -$920.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$633.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 14.72% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 150 times – this would give you a profit of $450.00
  • And would lose other 850 times – losing -$850.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$400.00.

Is betting on Unia Swarzedz worth it?

๐Ÿ”ด Unia Swarzedz: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 77.74% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.57. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 780 times – this would give you a profit of $444.60
  • And would have lost other 220 times – with a loss of -$220.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$224.60.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match KP Starogard Gdanski x Unia Swarzedz

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.75 KP Starogard Gdanski
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for KP Starogard Gdanski x Unia Swarzedz

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 KP Starogard Gdanski, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.0 KP Starogard Gdanski.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.0 KP Starogard Gdanski.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for KP Starogard Gdanski x Unia Swarzedz

โšฝ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.00 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves