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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» KR Reykjavik x Fram Reykjavik Betting tips for September 29 in Iceland Premier League
Sunday, 29 September 2024, 11h00 Iceland Premier League
KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik
PREDICTION No tip
Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik
Don't miss this prediction!

KR Reykjavik x Fram Reykjavik Betting tips for September 29 in Iceland Premier League

Our betting tip for KR Reykjavik x Fram Reykjavik, Sunday, 29/9/2024
πŸ“… 29/9/2024
11:00
KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik
1.99
X
3.84
Fram Reykjavik Fram Reykjavik
3.00

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for KR Reykjavik x Fram Reykjavik:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for KR Reykjavik x Fram Reykjavik

Important information for your tip for KR Reykjavik x Fram Reykjavik:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on KR Reykjavik in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-60.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Fram Reykjavik in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 KR Reykjavik matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team, KR Reykjavik conceded at least 2 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Fram Reykjavik conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, KR Reykjavik conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Fram Reykjavik.
πŸ‘‰ It is not a good time for Fram Reykjavik as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from KR Reykjavik x Fram Reykjavik for the Iceland Premier League – 29 of September

🏟️ KR Reykjavik X Fram Reykjavik – Iceland Premier League
πŸ“… 29 of September, 2024 – 11:00
πŸ”΅ KR Reykjavik – Winning probability: 54.15% | Fair line: 1.85
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.40% | Fair line: 4.27
πŸ”΄ Fram Reykjavik – Winning probability: 22.45% | Fair line: 4.45
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 KR Reykjavik
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between KR Reykjavik and Fram Reykjavik.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1190630 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for KR Reykjavik x Fram Reykjavik

Is it a good idea to bet on KR Reykjavik?

πŸ”΅ KR Reykjavik: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 54.15%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.99. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 540 times – profiting $534.60;
  • And would lose other 460 times – having a loss of -$460.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just πŸ’°$74.60. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.4% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.84. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $653.20
  • And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$116.80.

Is betting on Fram Reykjavik worth it?

πŸ”΄ Fram Reykjavik: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.45% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $440.00;
  • And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$340.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match KR Reykjavik x Fram Reykjavik

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 KR Reykjavik
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for KR Reykjavik x Fram Reykjavik

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 KR Reykjavik, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 KR Reykjavik.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Fram Reykjavik.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for KR Reykjavik x Fram Reykjavik

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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