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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Krasnodar U19 x Spartak Moscow U19 Betting tips for November 24 in Russia Youth Championship
Friday, 24 November 2023, 00h00 Russia Youth Championship
Krasnodar U19 Krasnodar U19
PREDICTION Spartak Moscow U19 Wins Probability 51% 1 X 2
Spartak Moscow U19 Spartak Moscow U19
ODD: @2.3 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Krasnodar U19 x Spartak Moscow U19 Betting tips for November 24 in Russia Youth Championship

Our betting tip for Krasnodar U19 x Spartak Moscow U19, Friday, 24/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 24/11/2023
12:00
Krasnodar U19 Krasnodar U19
2.55
X
3.90
Spartak Moscow U19 Spartak Moscow U19
2.30

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Krasnodar U19 x Spartak Moscow U19:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Spartak Moscow U19 wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Spartak Moscow U19, you can win up to $1150.00!

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Important information for your tip for Krasnodar U19 x Spartak Moscow U19:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Krasnodar U19 in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-85.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Spartak Moscow U19 in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $223.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Krasnodar U19 scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Spartak Moscow U19 scored at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team against Spartak Moscow U19, Krasnodar U19 scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 Krasnodar U19 matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Spartak Moscow U19 is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 3 wins in a row in its last road matches.

๐Ÿ“Š You can also check out the full analysis on Betfellows: Prognostic for Krasnodar U19 x Spartak Moscow U19

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Summary

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Analysis from Krasnodar U19 x Spartak Moscow U19 for the Russia Youth Championship – 24 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Krasnodar U19 X Spartak Moscow U19 – Russia Youth Championship
๐Ÿ“… 24 of November, 2023 – 12:00
๐Ÿ”ต Krasnodar U19 – Winning probability: 25.99% | Fair line: 3.85
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 22.06% | Fair line: 4.53
๐Ÿ”ด Spartak Moscow U19 – Winning probability: 51.95% | Fair line: 1.92
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Krasnodar U19
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Krasnodar U19 x Spartak Moscow U19 right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1024927 matches on the betting prognostics platform Betfellows , in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Krasnodar U19 x Spartak Moscow U19

Is betting on Krasnodar U19 worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Krasnodar U19: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.99%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.55. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $403.00;
  • And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$337.00.

Should you bet on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.06% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $638.00
  • And would have lost other 780 times – with a loss of -$780.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$142.00.

Should you bet on Spartak Moscow U19?

๐Ÿ”ด Spartak Moscow U19: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 51.95%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 520 times – having a profit of $676.00;
  • And would lose other 480 times – having a loss of -$480.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$196.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Krasnodar U19 x Spartak Moscow U19

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on soccer betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Krasnodar U19
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Krasnodar U19 x Spartak Moscow U19

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Krasnodar U19, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Krasnodar U19.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Spartak Moscow U19.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Krasnodar U19 x Spartak Moscow U19

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves