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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Krasnodar U19 x Spartak Moscow U19 Betting tips for November 24 in Russia Youth Championship
Friday, 24 November 2023, 00h00 Russia Youth Championship
Krasnodar U19 Krasnodar U19
PREDICTION Spartak Moscow U19 Wins Probability 53% 1 X 2
Spartak Moscow U19 Spartak Moscow U19
ODD: @2.28 Don't miss this prediction!

Krasnodar U19 x Spartak Moscow U19 Betting tips for November 24 in Russia Youth Championship

Our betting tip for Krasnodar U19 x Spartak Moscow U19, Friday, 24/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 24/11/2023
12:00
Krasnodar U19 Krasnodar U19
2.59
X
4.05
Spartak Moscow U19 Spartak Moscow U19
2.28

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Krasnodar U19 x Spartak Moscow U19:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Spartak Moscow U19 wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Spartak Moscow U19, you can win up to $1140.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Krasnodar U19 x Spartak Moscow U19:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Krasnodar U19 in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-85.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Spartak Moscow U19 in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $223.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Krasnodar U19 scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Spartak Moscow U19 scored at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team against Spartak Moscow U19, Krasnodar U19 scored at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 4 Krasnodar U19 matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ Spartak Moscow U19 is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 3 wins in a row in its last road matches.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Krasnodar U19 x Spartak Moscow U19

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Summary

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Analysis from Krasnodar U19 x Spartak Moscow U19 for the Russia Youth Championship – 24 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Krasnodar U19 X Spartak Moscow U19 – Russia Youth Championship
๐Ÿ“… 24 of November, 2023 – 12:00
๐Ÿ”ต Krasnodar U19 – Winning probability: 25.39% | Fair line: 3.94
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.49% | Fair line: 4.65
๐Ÿ”ด Spartak Moscow U19 – Winning probability: 53.12% | Fair line: 1.88
โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Krasnodar U19
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Krasnodar U19 x Spartak Moscow U19 is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1024961 matches on the database from our soccer prognostics platform, Betfellows, looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Krasnodar U19 x Spartak Moscow U19

Is it worth betting on Krasnodar U19?

๐Ÿ”ต Krasnodar U19: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.39%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.59. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 250 times – profiting $397.50;
  • And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$352.50.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.49% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.05. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 210 times – profiting $640.50;
  • And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$149.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on Spartak Moscow U19?

๐Ÿ”ด Spartak Moscow U19: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 53.12% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.28. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 530 times – having a profit of $678.40;
  • And would have lost other 470 times – with a loss of -$470.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$208.40.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Krasnodar U19 x Spartak Moscow U19

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Krasnodar U19
โšฝ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Krasnodar U19 x Spartak Moscow U19

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Krasnodar U19, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Krasnodar U19.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Krasnodar U19 x Spartak Moscow U19

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.75 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 3.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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