KS Luftetari x Pogradeci Betting tips for December 20 in Albania First Division
| 📅 20/12/2025 12:30 |
 KS Luftetari5.20 |
X 3.40 |
Pogradeci  1.72 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for KS Luftetari x Pogradeci:
🔮 Pogradeci wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Pogradeci, you can win up to $860.00!
Important information for your tip for KS Luftetari x Pogradeci:
👉 If you had bet $100 on KS Luftetari in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 8 matches as the home team, KS Luftetari conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 road matches, Pogradeci has not lost any of them.
👉 It is not a good time for KS Luftetari as home team: it comes from 5 losses in a row in its last home matches.
Do you want more options of bookies to bet on KS Luftetari x Pogradeci?
Maybe you already have an account on Bet365, but that is not a problem! We, from the Clube da Aposta, have been on this business since 2010 and know which bookies are trustworthy or not. Check out our list of the best betting sites in Kenya from 2025, you just have to click and bet:
Analysis from KS Luftetari x Pogradeci for the Albania First Division – 20 of December
🏟️ KS Luftetari X Pogradeci – Albania First Division
📅 20 of December, 2025 – 12:30
🔵 KS Luftetari – Winning probability: 4.20% | Fair line: 23.81
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 5.17% | Fair line: 19.34
🔴 Pogradeci – Winning probability: 90.63% | Fair line: 1.1
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 KS Luftetari
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks
When the best bet on KS Luftetari x Pogradeci is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1455033 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the 1×2 market for KS Luftetari x Pogradeci
Is it worth betting on KS Luftetari?
🔵 KS Luftetari: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 4.2% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 40 times – this would give you a profit of $168.00
- And would lose other 960 times – having a loss of -$960.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$792.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 5.17% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 50 times – having a profit of $120.00;
- And would lose other 950 times – losing -$950.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$830.00.
Is it worth betting on Pogradeci?
🔴 Pogradeci: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 90.63%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.72. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 910 times – this would give you a profit of $655.20
- And would have lost other 90 times – with a loss of -$90.00 because of them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$565.20.
Handicaps analysis for the match KS Luftetari x Pogradeci
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 KS Luftetari
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for KS Luftetari x Pogradeci
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.75 KS Luftetari and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.75 KS Luftetari.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for KS Luftetari x Pogradeci
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
