KS Lushnja x KS Burreli Betting tips for December 21 in Albania First Division

Our betting tip for KS Lushnja x KS Burreli, Saturday, 21/12/2024

📅 21/12/2024
12:30

KS Lushnja
1.81

X
3.22

KS Burreli

4.00

Our algorithm has selected this tip for KS Lushnja x KS Burreli:

🔮 KS Lushnja wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on KS Lushnja, you can win up to $905.00!

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Some important points for the tip for KS Lushnja x KS Burreli:

👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, KS Lushnja scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, KS Burreli scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against KS Burreli, KS Lushnja scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 head-to-head matches between KS Lushnja x KS Burreli, with KS Lushnja as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 KS Lushnja is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 KS Lushnja has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against KS Burreli playing at home.

Summary

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Analysis from KS Lushnja x KS Burreli for the Albania First Division – 21 of December

🏟️ KS Lushnja X KS Burreli – Albania First Division
📅 21 of December, 2024 – 12:30
🔵 KS Lushnja – Winning probability: 82.21% | Fair line: 1.22
⚪ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 12.60% | Fair line: 7.94
🔴 KS Burreli – Winning probability: 5.20% | Fair line: 19.24
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 KS Lushnja
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for KS Lushnja x KS Burreli right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1238880 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for KS Lushnja x KS Burreli

Is it a good idea to bet on KS Lushnja?

🔵 KS Lushnja: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 82.21% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.81. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would have hit 820 times – having a profit of $664.20;
And would have lost other 180 times – with a loss of -$180.00 because of them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$484.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.6% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.22. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would have hit 130 times – having a profit of $288.60;
And would lose other 870 times – losing -$870.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$581.40.

Is it a good idea to bet on KS Burreli?

🔴 KS Burreli: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 5.2% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

Would have hit 50 times – having a profit of $150.00;
And would have lost other 950 times – with a loss of -$950.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$800.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match KS Lushnja x KS Burreli

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 KS Lushnja
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for KS Lushnja x KS Burreli

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 KS Lushnja and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 KS Lushnja. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for KS Lushnja x KS Burreli

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.