La Equidad x Alianza Betting tips for November 2 in Colombia Primera A

Our betting tip for La Equidad x Alianza, Saturday, 2/11/2024

📅 2/11/2024 19:00

La Equidad 2.10

X 3.10

Alianza 3.40

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for La Equidad x Alianza:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for La Equidad x Alianza

Some important points for the tip for La Equidad x Alianza: 👉 If you had bet $100 on La Equidad in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-238.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Alianza in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 Alianza did not score any goals in the last 4 matches as away team. 👉 In the last 4 Alianza matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Alianza conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 It is not a good time for Alianza as away team: it comes from 6 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on La Equidad x Alianza?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from La Equidad x Alianza for the Colombia Primera A – 2 of November

When the best bet on La Equidad x Alianza is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1214237 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for La Equidad x Alianza

Is betting on La Equidad worth it?

🔵 La Equidad: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 54.48%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 540 times – this would give you a profit of $594.00
• And would lose other 460 times – having a loss of -$460.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$134.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.74% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 280 times – having a profit of $588.00;
• And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$132.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Alianza?

🔴 Alianza: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 17.78% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $432.00
• And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$388.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match La Equidad x Alianza

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 La Equidad
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for La Equidad x Alianza

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 La Equidad and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 La Equidad.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 La Equidad.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for La Equidad x Alianza

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 1.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.