La Equidad x Junior Betting tips for April 1 in Colombia Primera A

Our betting tip for La Equidad x Junior, Tuesday, 1/4/2025

📅 1/4/2025 00:30

La Equidad 2.35

X 3.05

Junior 2.90

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for La Equidad x Junior:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for La Equidad x Junior

Important information for your tip for La Equidad x Junior: 👉 If you had bet $100 on La Equidad in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Junior in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $10.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Junior scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 La Equidad matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 6 Junior matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between La Equidad x Junior, with La Equidad as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 road matches, Junior has not lost any of them. 👉 La Equidad has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Junior playing at home.

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Analysis from La Equidad x Junior for the Colombia Primera A – 1 of April

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between La Equidad and Junior.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1293334 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for La Equidad x Junior

Is betting on La Equidad worth it?

🔵 La Equidad: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 44.65% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.35. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 450 times – having a profit of $607.50;
• And would lose other 550 times – having a loss of -$550.00 with them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$57.50. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 31.55% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.05. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 320 times – profiting $656.00;
• And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$24.00.

Is betting on Junior worth it?

🔴 Junior: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.79%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $456.00;
• And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$304.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match La Equidad x Junior

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 La Equidad
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for La Equidad x Junior

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 La Equidad, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 La Equidad.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 Junior.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for La Equidad x Junior

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.