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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Lancaster City x Bradford P A Betting tips for November 25 in England Northern Premier League
Saturday, 25 November 2023, 00h00 England Northern Premier League
Lancaster City Lancaster City
PREDICTION Lancaster City wins Probability 11% 1 X 2
Bradford P A Bradford P A
ODD: @1.7 Don't miss this prediction! BET NOW Don't miss this prediction!

Lancaster City x Bradford P A Betting tips for November 25 in England Northern Premier League

Our betting tip for Lancaster City x Bradford P A, Saturday, 25/11/2023
๐Ÿ“… 25/11/2023
15:00
Lancaster City Lancaster City
1.70
X
3.65
Bradford P A Bradford P A
3.85

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Lancaster City x Bradford P A:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Lancaster City wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lancaster City, you can win up to $850.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Lancaster City x Bradford P A:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Lancaster City in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-90.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Bradford P A in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the away team, Bradford P A conceded at least 2 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ It is not a good time for Bradford P A as away team: it comes from 3 losses in a row in its last away matches.

๐Ÿ“Š Check out the analysis on Betfellows for this match: Full prognostic for Lancaster City x Bradford P A

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

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Analysis from Lancaster City x Bradford P A for the England Northern Premier League – 25 of November

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Lancaster City X Bradford P A – England Northern Premier League
๐Ÿ“… 25 of November, 2023 – 15:00
๐Ÿ”ต Lancaster City – Winning probability: 71.08% | Fair line: 1.41
โšช Tied game – Probability of tied match: 16.94% | Fair line: 5.9
๐Ÿ”ด Bradford P A – Winning probability: 11.98% | Fair line: 8.35
โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Lancaster City
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Lancaster City x Bradford P A right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1025263 matches from Betfellows database, our collaborative prediction platform, seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Lancaster City x Bradford P A

Is betting on Lancaster City worth it?

๐Ÿ”ต Lancaster City: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 71.08% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.70. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 710 times – having a profit of $497.00;
  • And would lose other 290 times – having a loss of -$290.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$207.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.94% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.65. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 170 times – having a profit of $450.50;
  • And would lose other 830 times – losing -$830.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$379.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on Bradford P A?

๐Ÿ”ด Bradford P A: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 11.98% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.85. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 120 times – profiting $342.00;
  • And would lose other 880 times – losing -$880.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$538.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Lancaster City x Bradford P A

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Lancaster City
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lancaster City x Bradford P A

โš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Lancaster City, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Lancaster City.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Bradford P A.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lancaster City x Bradford P A

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves