Lanus x Gimnasia LP Betting tips for September 30 in Argentina Liga Profesional

Our betting tip for Lanus x Gimnasia LP, Monday, 30/9/2024

📅 30/9/2024 21:15

Lanus 2.04

X 3.10

Gimnasia LP 3.82

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Lanus x Gimnasia LP:

🔮 Lanus wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lanus, you can win up to $1020.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

The main points for the tip for Lanus x Gimnasia LP: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Lanus in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-300.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Gimnasia LP in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $610.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Gimnasia LP scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Gimnasia LP, Lanus scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Lanus matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 Gimnasia LP matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Lanus x Gimnasia LP, with Lanus as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 road matches, Gimnasia LP has not lost any of them. 👉 Lanus has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Gimnasia LP playing at home.

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Lanus x Gimnasia LP?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Lanus x Gimnasia LP for the Argentina Liga Profesional – 30 of September

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Lanus and Gimnasia LP.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1190352 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Lanus x Gimnasia LP

Is betting on Lanus worth it?

🔵 Lanus: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 51.25%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.04. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 510 times – having a profit of $530.40;
• And would lose other 490 times – having a loss of -$490.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$40.40.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.71% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 330 times – profiting $693.00;
• And would lose other 670 times – having a loss of -$670.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$23.00.

Is it worth betting on Gimnasia LP?

🔴 Gimnasia LP: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 16.04% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.82. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $451.20;
• And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$388.80.

Handicaps analysis for the match Lanus x Gimnasia LP

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Lanus
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lanus x Gimnasia LP

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Lanus, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Lanus.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Lanus.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lanus x Gimnasia LP

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.