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Home ยป Predictions ยป Others ยป Lanus x Sarmiento Betting tips for February 2 in Argentina Liga Profesional
Sunday, 02 February 2025, 00h00 Argentina Liga Profesional
Lanus Lanus
PREDICTION Lanus wins Probability 72% 1 X 2
Sarmiento Sarmiento
ODD: @1.73 Don't miss this prediction!

Lanus x Sarmiento Betting tips for February 2 in Argentina Liga Profesional

Our betting tip for Lanus x Sarmiento, Sunday, 2/2/2025
๐Ÿ“… 2/2/2025
00:00
Lanus Lanus
1.73
X
3.30
Sarmiento Sarmiento
5.25

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Lanus x Sarmiento:

๐Ÿ”ฎ Lanus wins the match
๐Ÿ’ฐ When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lanus, you can win up to $865.00!

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Important information for your tip for Lanus x Sarmiento:

๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Lanus in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-25.0.
๐Ÿ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Sarmiento in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 Lanus matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
๐Ÿ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the away team, Sarmiento conceded at least 1 goal(s).
๐Ÿ‘‰ Lanus has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Sarmiento playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Lanus x Sarmiento for the Argentina Liga Profesional โ€“ 2 of February

๐ŸŸ๏ธ Lanus X Sarmiento โ€“ Argentina Liga Profesional
๐Ÿ“… 2 of February, 2025 โ€“ 00:00
๐Ÿ”ต Lanus โ€“ Winning probability: 72.18% | Fair line: 1.39
โšช Tied game โ€“ Probability of tied match: 20.86% | Fair line: 4.79
๐Ÿ”ด Sarmiento โ€“ Winning probability: 6.96% | Fair line: 14.36
โš– Handicap 1ร—2: -1.25 Lanus
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
โ›ณ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Lanus x Sarmiento is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1255014 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Lanus x Sarmiento

Is it worth betting on Lanus?

๐Ÿ”ต Lanus: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 72.18% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.73. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 720 times โ€“ having a profit of $525.60;
  • And would lose other 280 times โ€“ losing -$280.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of ๐Ÿ’ฐ$245.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

โšช draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 20.86% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 210 times โ€“ having a profit of $483.00;
  • And would lose other 790 times โ€“ losing -$790.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$307.00.

Is it worth betting on Sarmiento?

๐Ÿ”ด Sarmiento: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 6.96%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 70 times โ€“ this would give you a profit of $297.50
  • And would lose other 930 times โ€“ losing -$930.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of ๐Ÿ’ฐ-$632.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Lanus x Sarmiento

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

โš– Handicap 1ร—2: -1.25 Lanus
โšฝ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1ร—2 market for Lanus x Sarmiento

โš– Handicap 1ร—2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Lanus, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Lanus.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1ร—2 is on: -0.75 Lanus.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lanus x Sarmiento

โšฝ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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