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Home » Predictions » Others » LASK Linz x SK Sturm Graz Betting tips for October 27 in Austria Bundesliga
Sunday, 27 October 2024, 16h00 Austria Bundesliga
LASK Linz LASK Linz
PREDICTION SK Sturm Graz Wins Probability 44% 1 X 2
SK Sturm Graz SK Sturm Graz
ODD: @2.3 Don't miss this prediction!

LASK Linz x SK Sturm Graz Betting tips for October 27 in Austria Bundesliga

Our betting tip for LASK Linz x SK Sturm Graz, Sunday, 27/10/2024
📅 27/10/2024
16:00
LASK Linz LASK Linz
2.80
X
3.50
SK Sturm Graz SK Sturm Graz
2.30

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for LASK Linz x SK Sturm Graz:

🔮 SK Sturm Graz wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on SK Sturm Graz, you can win up to $1150.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for LASK Linz x SK Sturm Graz:

👉 If you had bet $100 on LASK Linz in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-170.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on SK Sturm Graz in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $23.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, LASK Linz scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, SK Sturm Graz scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against SK Sturm Graz, LASK Linz scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 LASK Linz matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 SK Sturm Graz matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between LASK Linz x SK Sturm Graz, with LASK Linz as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, SK Sturm Graz conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, LASK Linz conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against SK Sturm Graz.
👉 LASK Linz has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against SK Sturm Graz playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from LASK Linz x SK Sturm Graz for the Austria Bundesliga – 27 of October

🏟️ LASK Linz X SK Sturm Graz – Austria Bundesliga
📅 27 of October, 2024 – 16:00
🔵 LASK Linz – Winning probability: 26.29% | Fair line: 3.8
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.11% | Fair line: 3.44
🔴 SK Sturm Graz – Winning probability: 44.60% | Fair line: 2.24
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 LASK Linz
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on LASK Linz x SK Sturm Graz is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1209557 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for LASK Linz x SK Sturm Graz

Is betting on LASK Linz worth it?

🔵 LASK Linz: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.29%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 260 times – this would give you a profit of $468.00
  • And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$272.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 29.11%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $725.00;
  • And would lose other 710 times – having a loss of -$710.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$15.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is betting on SK Sturm Graz worth it?

🔴 SK Sturm Graz: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 44.6% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 450 times – profiting $585.00;
  • And would lose other 550 times – losing -$550.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$35.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match LASK Linz x SK Sturm Graz

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 LASK Linz
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for LASK Linz x SK Sturm Graz

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 LASK Linz, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 LASK Linz.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 SK Sturm Graz.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for LASK Linz x SK Sturm Graz

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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