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Home » Predictions » Others » Lavagnese x ASD Borgaro Nobis Betting tips for December 1 in Italy Serie D
Sunday, 01 December 2024, 13h30 Italy Serie D
Lavagnese Lavagnese
PREDICTION Lavagnese wins Probability 83% 1 X 2
ASD Borgaro Nobis ASD Borgaro Nobis
ODD: @1.37 Don't miss this prediction!

Lavagnese x ASD Borgaro Nobis Betting tips for December 1 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for Lavagnese x ASD Borgaro Nobis, Sunday, 1/12/2024
📅 1/12/2024
13:30
Lavagnese Lavagnese
1.37
X
4.33
ASD Borgaro Nobis ASD Borgaro Nobis
6.50

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Lavagnese x ASD Borgaro Nobis:

🔮 Lavagnese wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lavagnese, you can win up to $685.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Lavagnese x ASD Borgaro Nobis:

👉 If you had bet $100 on ASD Borgaro Nobis in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Lavagnese conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, ASD Borgaro Nobis conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Lavagnese x ASD Borgaro Nobis?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Lavagnese x ASD Borgaro Nobis, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Lavagnese x ASD Borgaro Nobis for the Italy Serie D – 1 of December

🏟️ Lavagnese X ASD Borgaro Nobis – Italy Serie D
📅 1 of December, 2024 – 13:30
🔵 Lavagnese – Winning probability: 83.61% | Fair line: 1.2
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 13.38% | Fair line: 7.47
🔴 ASD Borgaro Nobis – Winning probability: 3.01% | Fair line: 33.27
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Lavagnese
⚽ Expected goals: 1.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Lavagnese x ASD Borgaro Nobis is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1230121 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Lavagnese x ASD Borgaro Nobis

Is betting on Lavagnese worth it?

🔵 Lavagnese: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 83.61%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.37. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 840 times – this would give you a profit of $310.80
  • And would lose other 160 times – having a loss of -$160.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$150.80.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 13.38% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.33. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 130 times – having a profit of $432.90;
  • And would have lost other 870 times – with a loss of -$870.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$437.10.

Is betting on ASD Borgaro Nobis worth it?

🔴 ASD Borgaro Nobis: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 3.01% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 30 times – having a profit of $165.00;
  • And would lose other 970 times – losing -$970.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$805.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Lavagnese x ASD Borgaro Nobis

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Lavagnese
⚽ Expected goals: 1.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lavagnese x ASD Borgaro Nobis

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Lavagnese, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 Lavagnese. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lavagnese x ASD Borgaro Nobis

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 1.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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