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Home » Predictions » Others » Lavagnese x Chisola Betting tips for December 14 in Italy Serie D
Sunday, 14 December 2025, 13h30 Italy Serie D
Lavagnese Lavagnese
PREDICTION No tip
Chisola Chisola
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Lavagnese x Chisola Betting tips for December 14 in Italy Serie D

Our betting tip for Lavagnese x Chisola, Sunday, 14/12/2025
📅 14/12/2025
13:30
Lavagnese Lavagnese
2.65
X
3.24
Chisola Chisola
2.30

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Lavagnese x Chisola:

👎 Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Lavagnese x Chisola

Some important points for the tip for Lavagnese x Chisola:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Lavagnese in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-262.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Chisola in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-52.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Lavagnese scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 Lavagnese matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Chisola conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Lavagnese x Chisola for the Italy Serie D – 14 of December

🏟️ Lavagnese X Chisola – Italy Serie D
📅 14 of December, 2025 – 13:30
🔵 Lavagnese – Winning probability: 33.32% | Fair line: 3.0
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.90% | Fair line: 3.86
🔴 Chisola – Winning probability: 40.78% | Fair line: 2.45
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Lavagnese
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Lavagnese x Chisola is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1452657 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Lavagnese x Chisola

Is it worth betting on Lavagnese?

🔵 Lavagnese: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 33.32% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.65. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – profiting $544.50;
  • And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$125.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.9%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.24. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $582.40;
  • And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$157.60.

Is betting on Chisola worth it?

🔴 Chisola: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 40.78%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.30. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 410 times – having a profit of $533.00;
  • And would have lost other 590 times – with a loss of -$590.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$57.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Lavagnese x Chisola

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Lavagnese
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lavagnese x Chisola

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Lavagnese, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Lavagnese.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Lavagnese.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lavagnese x Chisola

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.

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Written by
Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves